Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: North Carolina Central Eagles (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e25811856a7e9bcdadb5a7100a8c8a907cd841e64e7b80616f2508b1c5d42bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maryland Eastern Shore Hawksof North Carolina Central Eagles, Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,164
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,248
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,164 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed North Carolina Central Eagles | 50c | 3,908$1,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,953.87 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks | 50c | 1,663$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.52 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks | 50c | 1,250$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks | 50c | 1,004$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.12 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks | 44c | 412.78$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.18 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked North Carolina Central Eagles | 54c | 250.71$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.42 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed North Carolina Central Eagles | 54c | 207.23$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.53 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks | 50c | 154.34$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.17 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…338abacked Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks | 52c | 99.52$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.77 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed North Carolina Central Eagles | 52c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.23 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed North Carolina Central Eagles | 53c | 65.57$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.75 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks | 49c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b01…1f7abacked Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks | 51c | 20.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: North Carolina Central Eagles (-3.5)this page
- Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks vs. North Carolina Central EaglesNorth Carolina Central Eagles won
- Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks vs. North Carolina Central Eagles: O/U 133.5Under won
- Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks vs. North Carolina Central Eagles: O/U 134.5Under won
- Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks vs. North Carolina Central Eagles: O/U 135.5Under won
- Spread: North Carolina Central Eagles (-2.5)Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.