Asian League · resolved market
FC Seoul vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2eecdbf753891b88de4c120b090e75499d3f21b0ea15a705e947b841482964b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,355
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,909
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,355 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Under | 25c | 950$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…7204backed Over | 54c | 928.13$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.13 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -8.2wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Over | 63c | 793.97$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.97 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…90ebbacked Under | 22c | 742$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.24 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…a3b6backed Over | 73c | 625$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.45 | 56 | 69.6%39 W · 17 L | +10.2wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 7c | 558.04$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.1 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 44c | 521.46$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.42 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 37c | 422.25$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.46 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 61c | 407.48$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.48 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 39c | 356.26$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.94 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 15c | 351.37$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.98 | 261 | 36.8%96 W · 165 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked Over | 79c | 325.66$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.96 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +10.6wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 41c | 323$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.62 | 144 | 29.2%42 W · 102 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 14c | 299.02$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.65 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 51c | 278.76$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.07 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Under | 42c | 231.68$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.41 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under | 39c | 174.36$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…f040backed Under | 10c | 145.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe2…004dbacked Under | 9c | 141.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +40%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 77c | 129.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.94 | 213 | 67.6%144 W · 69 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b42…7cbebacked Over | 45c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +53%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Under | 55c | 43.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Under | 44c | 37.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Under | 62c | 36.31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.51 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2126…aeebbacked Over | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 51c | 20.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8095…d7abbacked Over | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Seoul vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 0.5this page
- FC Seoul vs. Incheon United FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Seoul vs. Incheon United FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Seoul vs. Incheon United FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Seoul vs. Incheon United FC: FC Seoul O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Seoul vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Seoul vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Seoul vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Seoul vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Seoul (-1.5)Incheon United FC won
- Spread: FC Seoul (-2.5)Incheon United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.