Asian League · resolved market
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca196438da21a0ff1c087017d8db372cad48fa2e2c0618632991504c6d90eeb8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,949
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,455
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,949 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 37c | 810.81$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 15c | 650.42$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.78 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 63c | 402.18$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.68 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 30c | 238.8$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.74 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed Over | 74c | 144.98$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.7 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 74cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed Over | 74c | 136$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.36 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 213 | 67.6%144 W · 69 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 64c | 126.75$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.89 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Under | 26c | 125.14$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.54 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 55c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 215 | 74.4%160 W · 55 L | +45.1wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x8095…d7abbacked Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Over | 73c | 14.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 64 | 68.8%44 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Liaoning Tieren FC (-1.5)Qingdao Xihaian FC won
- Spread: Liaoning Tieren FC (-2.5)Qingdao Xihaian FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.