Other European Leagues · resolved market
Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Heracles Almelo: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x546af830f6b43ec378613a3216107c6297b57694934eae6438b26d55e080df3d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,712
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,056
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,712 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 51c | 2,647$1,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.1 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 50c | 1,533$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.72 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 51c | 1,063$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.44 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 49c | 999.63$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.7 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 60c | 900$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed Over | 50c | 584$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Under | 50c | 399.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 47c | 390.45$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.47 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3a…a56bbacked Over | 43c | 300$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 357 | 40.6%145 W · 212 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8616…cfbebacked Under | 51c | 228.67$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 75c | 215.48$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.22 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x672f…13ccbacked Over | 49c | 188$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Under | 49c | 163.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 71c | 140.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.92 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…d05dbacked Over | 50c | 118$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Over | 49c | 101.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.71 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Over | 49c | 96$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.96 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Over | 70c | 94$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Over | 78c | 89.29$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2d…379dbacked Over | 37c | 70$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 39c | 66.85$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.08 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 49c | 66$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.66 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 278 | 56.1%156 W · 122 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed Over | 71c | 55.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Over | 50c | 52.36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.18 | 143 | 60.8%87 W · 56 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 52c | 47.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.7 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 37c | 46.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +122.8%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x52a4…7fe3backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.31per pick | 54cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 318 | 60.4%192 W · 126 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Under | 51c | 37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 105 | 24.8%26 W · 79 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 61c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 50c | 31.66$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +11.1wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d0…e72ebacked Over | 68c | 30.85$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 35c | 30.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Over | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 153 | 61.4%94 W · 59 L | +10.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a32…0188backed Over | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 57c | 23.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Over | 50c | 20.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 64c | 20.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Heracles Almelo: O/U 3.5this page
- Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Heracles Almelo: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Heracles Almelo: O/U 1.5Over won
- Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Heracles Almelo: O/U 2.5Over won
- Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Heracles Almelo: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.