Other European Leagues · resolved market
Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Heracles Almelo: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd972efe676af3c7765b9b84273cf59c287234f6cb64ec5c1c901b1b5d15ee369
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,082
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,269
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,082 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 12c | 16,617$2,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,551.29 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee4…9f0cbacked Under | 71c | 1,400$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 74cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Over | 33c | 1,100$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 69c | 806.54$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.51 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 31c | 806.4$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.42 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +11.1wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 28c | 618.61$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.44 | 84 | 29.8%25 W · 59 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Under | 68c | 424.06$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.36 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x064a…245dbacked Under | 31c | 417$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Over | 29c | 400$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 25c | 399.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.99 | 183 | 35%64 W · 119 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Under | 48c | 353.65$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 40c | 240.33$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.33 | 357 | 40.6%145 W · 212 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 67c | 229$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.43 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Under | 78c | 192.31$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 73c | 173.36$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.3 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 25c | 152.58$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.19 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 31c | 117.43$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.63 | 146 | 28.1%41 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 67c | 112$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.46 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x392c…0bb4backed Over | 22c | 110$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -4.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd7de…4d6dbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +5.8wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 53c | 86.79$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 34c | 86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.11 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 73c | 55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over | 51c | 43.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 33c | 41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.47 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Under | 67c | 33.73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 58c | 32.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2f…2c89backed Over | 37c | 30.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 55c | 20.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.29 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 68c | 15.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…47afbacked Under | 69c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Heracles Almelo: O/U 4.5this page
- Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Heracles Almelo: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Heracles Almelo: O/U 1.5Over won
- Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Heracles Almelo: O/U 2.5Over won
- Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Heracles Almelo: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.