South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Belgrano win on 2026-02-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc2ab752a66e31439fc8a56284b85f4a39e53835e50a225e5c8ca13acd302c1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,787
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,687
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,787 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 42c | 4,109$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720.24 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 28c | 3,050$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,196 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 38c | 2,756$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.9 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 69c | 1,517$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.17 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 39c | 1,474$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.46 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 37c | 1,443$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda9b…b2a9backed No | 37c | 1,148$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.93 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Yes | 26c | 883.31$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 27c | 814.9$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.63 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed No | 38c | 717.8$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.89 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed No | 38c | 618.75$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.13 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56a8…3639backed No | 37c | 541$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.17 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked No | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed No | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Yes | 27c | 249.82$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.37 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 237.22$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.48 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 33c | 226$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.88 | 181 | 60.2%109 W · 72 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 72c | 191.13$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.79 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…a9b3backed Yes | 29c | 175.48$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.69 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 44c | 172.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.39 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d0…c927backed No | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 32c | 150.66$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.85 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x313c…61d9backed No | 27c | 133.39$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.22 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked Yes | 62c | 108.75$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.26 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 22c | 105.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.26 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -7.1wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c41…c63ebacked Yes | 73c | 89.04$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.04 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 33c | 77.76$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed No | 46c | 62.7$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked Yes | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes | 64c | 58.38$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.02 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked No | 37c | 57.72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 38c | 55.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked No | 38c | 52.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Yes | 64c | 49.7$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8bbb…0c8cbacked No | 38c | 49.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 62c | 43$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.16 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecd5…7330backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 63c | 30.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd5…a1bdbacked No | 38c | 29.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…3851backed No | 74c | 28.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd3…772abacked No | 38c | 27.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 74c | 24.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd7…caa5backed Yes | 68c | 17.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 62cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9e93backed No | 72c | 16.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 73c | 15.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf7…9f98backed No | 74c | 14.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Belgrano win on 2026-02-14?this page
- Will CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. CA Belgrano end in a draw?No won
- Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-02-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.