South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-02-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b8a8dd2b765d840dfb262069031ca9ed0b918d88e6531e36991e07a61e010ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,920
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,926
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,920 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 6,321$4,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,836.49 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Yes | 43c | 2,342$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.19 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Yes | 41c | 1,463$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda3f…4b6abacked Yes | 22c | 1,349$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 71c | 951.31$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.37 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 31c | 833.58$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.35 | 77 | 22.1%17 W · 60 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Yes | 19c | 558.25$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.15 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 20c | 539.3$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.23 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 118 | 19.5%23 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd22…e478backed Yes | 41c | 421.3$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.73 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb14…45bbbacked Yes | 35c | 345.71$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 16c | 286$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.72 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 59c | 260.25$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.67 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 65c | 216$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.97 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Yes | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 74c | 190$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.17 | 181 | 60.2%109 W · 72 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6250…8707backed Yes | 40c | 172.5$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 60c | 170$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fb…6d42backed Yes | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -7.1wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x858d…9d9fbacked Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c37…268abacked No | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 41c | 66.66$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.33 | 201 | 42.3%85 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed No | 63c | 64.64$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.08 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Yes | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3b…6583backed Yes | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a3…4a83backed Yes | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 39c | 41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70d5…119ebacked Yes | 41c | 37.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4683…683fbacked Yes | 41c | 31.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 63c | 20.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 270 | 53%143 W · 127 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 69c | 19.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 60c | 18.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 212 | 66.5%141 W · 71 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 59c | 17.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-02-14?this page
- Will CA Belgrano win on 2026-02-14?Yes won
- Will CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. CA Belgrano end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.