Asian League · resolved market
Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcfb956fab6fc3552998635357fcafbd28f1e1ca69ea0725749b7c5cd5771f195
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,239
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,411
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,239 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3032…9b05backed Over | 74c | 2,039$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6b…b0b9backed Over | 64c | 2,008$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,294.99 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 40c | 1,908$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.45 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Over | 53c | 1,207$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.6 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +14.1wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 27c | 966.8$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.68 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 48c | 732.87$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.41 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 31c | 644.31$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.56 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Over | 52c | 620.55$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.78 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…02afbacked Under | 77c | 600$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 490.39$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.36 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56a8…3639backed Over | 46c | 392$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.32 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 51c | 354.46$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.77 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda9b…b2a9backed Over | 47c | 308$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 44c | 260$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed Over | 53c | 171.98$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.37 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 43c | 161.5$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.08 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Over | 23c | 161.2$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.08 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +5.1wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Under | 60c | 157.56$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.71 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 112 | 38.4%43 W · 69 L | -11.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 30c | 113.54$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 49c | 102$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…c413backed Over | 50c | 100.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.6 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 23c | 82.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 276 | 39.5%109 W · 167 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 27c | 80.37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 48c | 80$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 44c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 61c | 75.97$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.41 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 48c | 52.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 245 | 48.6%119 W · 126 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 29c | 45.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.65 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 50c | 40.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd3…772abacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bbb…0c8cbacked Over | 53c | 20.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff6b…8a9ebacked Over | 74c | 19.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Over | 67c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.39per pick | 56cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 2.5this page
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.