Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Groningen vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00d011c5cc4cce4774c427e60ddcb925ca2939cf6538243186089942e3161d0b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,720
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,857
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,720 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 11,183$5,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,296.55 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 54c | 6,970$3,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,206.2 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 2,325$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.38 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 46c | 2,211$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.64 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5905…a34cbacked Over | 57c | 1,813$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…e4efbacked Over | 43c | 999.25$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.57 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 46c | 974.75$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.92 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56a8…3639backed Over | 55c | 909$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.06 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 41c | 613.41$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.1 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 50c | 604.46$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.46 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…c46ebacked Over | 47c | 592.69$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.95 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed Over | 57c | 580.05$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.58 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 46c | 543.31$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.31 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda9b…b2a9backed Over | 55c | 511.42$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.09 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 104 | 35.6%37 W · 67 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Over | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +6.9wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +34%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Over | 54c | 278.79$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.25 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00a0…bf76backed Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 63c | 233.8$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.55 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 46c | 219.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.55 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 53c | 177.27$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.27 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 54c | 160.3$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.29 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0082…e801backed Over | 62c | 160.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.09 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Over | 67c | 149.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Over | 67c | 148.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.82 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked Over | 55c | 111.01$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.95 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 27c | 110.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Over | 53c | 100.79$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.37 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 216 | 58.8%127 W · 89 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c38…3d15backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 53c | 76.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 59c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.05 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Under | 39c | 53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 61c | 50.82$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 123 | 61%75 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1415backed Over | 73c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74be…d9dbbacked Over | 58c | 48.45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over | 38c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…72dbbacked Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb856…a9bcbacked Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf9…1646backed Over | 73c | 35.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked Over | 53c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +10.1wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 53c | 31.24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.61 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed Over | 55c | 30.05$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…3243backed Over | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 28 | 85.7%24 W · 4 L | +4.9wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4712…5bd6backed Over | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe86…6763backed Under | 63c | 25.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5501…e914backed Over | 55c | 21.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f4a…dd45backed Over | 63c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Groningen vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 1.5this page
- FC Groningen vs. FC Utrecht: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Groningen vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Groningen vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Groningen vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.