MLB · resolved market
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Washington Nationals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c2b4052e3b31d3243b8fa60c2dd6c37c61b18ff42b24e292fe29bde59cba410
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Nationalsof St. Louis Cardinals, Washington Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $247,532
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $249,310
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $247,532 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6498…8910backed Washington Nationals | 61c | 11,717$7,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,605.19 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 11,464$5,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,831.88 | 771 | 53.8%415 W · 356 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Washington Nationals | 49c | 9,474$4,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,831.94 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 8,060$4,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,191.43 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 7,007$2,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,917.66 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 6,488$2,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,960.24 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Washington Nationals | 49c | 5,815$2,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,965.74 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…8723backed Washington Nationals | 67c | 5,329$3,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739.26 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 34c | 5,280$1,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,779.74 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 5,068$2,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,764.49 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Washington Nationals | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Washington Nationals | 66c | 4,050$2,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,393.72 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 40c | 3,793$1,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,528.74 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 32c | 3,602$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.1 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Washington Nationals | 40c | 3,272$1,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,959.19 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 2,855$1,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,455.9 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed St. Louis Cardinals | 4c | 2,662$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.66 | 170 | 14.1%24 W · 146 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 2,476$1,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,361.18 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed St. Louis Cardinals | 31c | 2,230$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.67 | 2,044 | 39.5%808 W · 1,236 L | -24.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 2,209$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.78 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Washington Nationals | 6c | 2,098$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,981.91 | 1,194 | 29%346 W · 848 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 2,032$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.47 | 303 | 40.6%123 W · 180 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Washington Nationals | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 1,999$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.71 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Washington Nationals | 49c | 1,939$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.79 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 1,936$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.77 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed St. Louis Cardinals | 38c | 1,873$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.63 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 1,729$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.75 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked St. Louis Cardinals | 31c | 1,654$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.34 | 1,874 | 52%975 W · 899 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4714…0b54backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 1,653$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Washington Nationals | 57c | 1,342$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.8 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Washington Nationals | 49c | 1,260$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.71 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 1,070$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.15 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 1,053$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.56 | 1,728 | 50.4%871 W · 857 L | +57.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed St. Louis Cardinals | 24c | 1,005$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.88 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 33c | 759.35$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.29 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 60c | 725.64$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.18 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Washington Nationals | 48c | 699.93$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.75 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Washington Nationals | 49c | 593.51$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.69 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed St. Louis Cardinals | 35c | 571$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.85 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaa…3858backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 517.35$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.02 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb779…ab22backed Washington Nationals | 48c | 516.29$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.47 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 34c | 500.43$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.07 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x837a…77e1backed St. Louis Cardinals | 23c | 433.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.71 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | +124.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 423.89$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.18 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 420.22$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.76 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Washington Nationals | 49c | 406.48$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.3 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 385.33$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.52 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Washington Nationals | 15c | 363.66$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.34 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c31…ebdbbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 362.98$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.12 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Washington Nationals | 51c | 359.83$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.67 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa177…4b0dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 29c | 345.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.12 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 338.95$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.25 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Washington Nationals | 48c | 299.99$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 299.97$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.98 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Washington Nationals | 49c | 276.97$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.26 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed St. Louis Cardinals | 32c | 275.8$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.81 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4650…f3f0backed Washington Nationals | 75c | 271.06$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.09 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 257.72$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.52 | 483 | 43.3%209 W · 274 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Washington Nationals | 49c | 254.28$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.68 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 34c | 242.74$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.78 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69c2…40cfbacked Washington Nationals | 12c | 240.78$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.37 | 182 | 39.6%72 W · 110 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 75c | 231.7$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.97 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Washington Nationals | 67c | 230.38$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.65 | 268 | 57.8%155 W · 113 L | +26.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Washington Nationals | 76c | 226.83$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.8 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 219.59$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.54 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb74f…030abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 216.44$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.39 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85a7…d9f3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 209.35$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.77 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 206.38$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.41 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea4b…dedebacked Washington Nationals | 49c | 201.64$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.83 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Washington Nationals | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…6a1bbacked Washington Nationals | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 363 | 45.7%166 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 666 | 48.2%321 W · 345 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x410c…d091backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 193.04$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.08 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Washington Nationals | 49c | 191.94$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.89 | 319 | 49.5%158 W · 161 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea0…865dbacked Washington Nationals | 49c | 183.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.83 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…c7cfbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 78c | 172.06$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.2 | 28 | 82.1%23 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 76cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed St. Louis Cardinals | 33c | 171.5$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.6 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Washington Nationals | 62c | 161.97$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.88 | 656 | 51.2%336 W · 320 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 354 | 46%163 W · 191 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 66c | 148.42$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.96 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 146.81$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.87 | 258 | 51.9%134 W · 124 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fe…6a33backed St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 145.56$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.76 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97a2…3711backed Washington Nationals | 55c | 140.81$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.96 | 101 | 68.3%69 W · 32 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Washington Nationals | 60c | 139$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.11 | 2,546 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,378 L | -74.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaed…5749backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 138.19$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.19 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 133.22$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.94 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…b5a7backed Washington Nationals | 76c | 129.68$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.12 | 145 | 58.6%85 W · 60 L | -10.9wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…1fe3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 123.55$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.89 | 203 | 51.7%105 W · 98 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Washington Nationals | 49c | 122.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.29 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Washington Nationals | 67c | 122.04$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.62 | 800 | 52%416 W · 384 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Washington Nationals | 67c | 121.54$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.11 | 634 | 54.3%344 W · 290 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb24b…04ddbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 27c | 120.05$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.36 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa71…8aa0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 69c | 114.82$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.23 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 54cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed St. Louis Cardinals | 15c | 108.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | +11.3wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 107.8$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.06 | 1,055 | 50.3%531 W · 524 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Washington Nationals | 64c | 103.36$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.23 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Washington Nationals | 49c | 102.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.41 | 262 | 55.7%146 W · 116 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Washington Nationals | 72c | 101.02$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.75 | 790 | 49.2%389 W · 401 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Washington Nationals | 65c | 100.91$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.32 | 445 | 56.9%253 W · 192 L | +27.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Washington Nationalsthis page
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)Washington Nationals won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.