CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs The Last Resort (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4aaa3f23b55fd6fd3299cc82f85810bdee536386a33bd9085d0b771d0e7993c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- The Last Resortof Donstu Esports, The Last Resort
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,076
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,865
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,076 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed The Last Resort | 76c | 581.73$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.15 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Donstu Esports | 14c | 508.3$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.23 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed The Last Resort | 48c | 471.81$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.01 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Donstu Esports | 16c | 224.12$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.81 | 104 | 26%27 W · 77 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Donstu Esports | 31c | 162.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed The Last Resort | 75c | 139.59$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.26 | 286 | 60.1%172 W · 114 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Donstu Esports | 25c | 132.16$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.04 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9851…1320backed The Last Resort | 77c | 125.86$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.15 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -11.3wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d5…7c98backed Donstu Esports | 29c | 122.93$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.65 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0028…cba0backed Donstu Esports | 29c | 122.93$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed The Last Resort | 75c | 120.91$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.33 | 493 | 76.1%375 W · 118 L | +96.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x6722…865fbacked The Last Resort | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 277 | 54.9%152 W · 125 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x382d…eb3abacked The Last Resort | 58c | 103.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.71 | 252 | 50.4%127 W · 125 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed The Last Resort | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.78 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Donstu Esports | 27c | 95.22$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 361 | 51.8%187 W · 174 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Donstu Esports | 38c | 75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee4…471fbacked Donstu Esports | 46c | 71.53$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 357 | 52.9%189 W · 168 L | +22.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe253…b9c7backed The Last Resort | 41c | 62.59$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.93 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Donstu Esports | 19c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Donstu Esports | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 247 | 47%116 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc32…32f8backed Donstu Esports | 19c | 55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed Donstu Esports | 23c | 54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 486 | 35.4%172 W · 314 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99be…3622backed Donstu Esports | 27c | 53.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked The Last Resort | 59c | 48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 389 | 42.4%165 W · 224 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Donstu Esports | 29c | 47.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Donstu Esports | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e1…6579backed Donstu Esports | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…1d57backed The Last Resort | 80c | 37.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 75cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x231d…4bdfbacked The Last Resort | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked The Last Resort | 53c | 31.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 387 | 53.2%206 W · 181 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked The Last Resort | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs The Last Resort (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs The Last Resort - Map 1 WinnerThe Last Resort won
- Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs The Last Resort - Map 2 WinnerDonstu Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.