CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs aimclub (BO3) - DraculaN Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e25c8ea395263cd9985a85c08617166f1ce0b922184d3f46dc81754c23b7f3b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- aimclubof MOUZ NXT, aimclub
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,404
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,072
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,404 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked MOUZ NXT | 57c | 2,680$1,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,531.93 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…ae51backed aimclub | 67c | 1,412$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.75 | 298 | 58.4%174 W · 124 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed aimclub | 44c | 1,126$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.95 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked aimclub | 47c | 961.79$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.75 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ NXT | 33c | 883.16$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.93 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed MOUZ NXT | 39c | 785.69$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.16 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked MOUZ NXT | 35c | 750$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.06 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked aimclub | 55c | 520$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.64 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MOUZ NXT | 41c | 517.22$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.59 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed MOUZ NXT | 29c | 516$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.64 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e88…df66backed aimclub | 73c | 273.09$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa960…9407backed aimclub | 66c | 260$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.7 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed aimclub | 69c | 238.42$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed MOUZ NXT | 44c | 196.19$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.61 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…dca3backed aimclub | 73c | 161.64$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.64 | 302 | 54.3%164 W · 138 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6722…865fbacked aimclub | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 277 | 54.9%152 W · 125 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed MOUZ NXT | 53c | 106.19$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.28 | 434 | 55.1%239 W · 195 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed MOUZ NXT | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.07 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x382d…eb3abacked aimclub | 70c | 88.66$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 252 | 50.4%127 W · 125 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc32…32f8backed MOUZ NXT | 20c | 67.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked MOUZ NXT | 46c | 67.29$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.01 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39e4…f089backed MOUZ NXT | 37c | 64.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 321 | 38.3%123 W · 198 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed aimclub | 53c | 62.5$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed MOUZ NXT | 45c | 59.52$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 470 | 53.2%250 W · 220 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe253…b9c7backed MOUZ NXT | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7be…908dbacked MOUZ NXT | 38c | 52.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ff…6431backed aimclub | 79c | 50.83$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 231 | 65.8%152 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05b3…ab29backed MOUZ NXT | 38c | 32.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a84…1b1ebacked aimclub | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked aimclub | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 295 | 55.3%163 W · 132 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e90…0bd0backed aimclub | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6747…3695backed aimclub | 80c | 22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs aimclub (BO3) - DraculaN Group Athis page
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs aimclub - Map 1 Winneraimclub won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs aimclub - Map 2 Winneraimclub won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.