CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs aimclub - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec9eb8e5f23864a3242409ac28fc458bc36eea14fb02c78e8712ee9882456ae9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- aimclubof MOUZ NXT, aimclub
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,150
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,607
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,150 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7193…ae51backed aimclub | 40c | 2,200$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311.99 | 298 | 58.4%174 W · 124 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MOUZ NXT | 60c | 1,523$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.66 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x883a…73b0backed aimclub | 46c | 918.98$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.21 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed MOUZ NXT | 55c | 705.06$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.07 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed aimclub | 47c | 532.71$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.71 | 412 | 60.9%251 W · 161 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked MOUZ NXT | 58c | 375.13$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.44 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed MOUZ NXT | 63c | 368.25$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.33 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked MOUZ NXT | 55c | 341.25$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.98 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed aimclub | 42c | 199.99$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.44 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed MOUZ NXT | 65c | 169.04$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.88 | 470 | 53.2%250 W · 220 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bb…6b39backed MOUZ NXT | 45c | 165.91$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.82 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…526dbacked MOUZ NXT | 60c | 158.43$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.06 | 224 | 44.6%100 W · 124 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed MOUZ NXT | 42c | 153.7$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.55 | 229 | 52%119 W · 110 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x523e…3128backed aimclub | 78c | 129$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MOUZ NXT | 55c | 123$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.65 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed MOUZ NXT | 54c | 118.56$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.12 | 517 | 55.9%289 W · 228 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed aimclub | 50c | 99.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.05 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe751…9af6backed aimclub | 47c | 93.17$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.17 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c77…6747backed MOUZ NXT | 31c | 89.88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.41 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -16.7wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked MOUZ NXT | 60c | 83.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed MOUZ NXT | 39c | 74.7$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.13 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked MOUZ NXT | 44c | 68.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 416 | 40.6%169 W · 247 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed aimclub | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked MOUZ NXT | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 388 | 58.2%226 W · 162 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef71…898bbacked MOUZ NXT | 55c | 44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed MOUZ NXT | 59c | 43.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.95 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs aimclub - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs aimclub (BO3) - DraculaN Group Aaimclub won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs aimclub - Map 1 Winneraimclub won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.