TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Spread: Los Angeles Galaxy (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Minnesota United FCof Los Angeles Galaxy, Minnesota United FC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,829
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,832

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,829 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xefde…6505backed Los Angeles Galaxy29c624.99$181 inLost-$181.2542947.1%202 W · 227 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Minnesota United FC71c624.99$444 inWon+$181.2513053.1%69 W · 61 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Minnesota United FC69c542.28$376 inWon+$166.633,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Los Angeles Galaxy31c534.71$166 inLost-$165.761643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Los Angeles Galaxy24c149.99$36 inLost-$3691553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Los Angeles Galaxy18c142.1$26 inLost-$26.041,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Minnesota United FC76c133.36$101 inWon+$32.011,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Minnesota United FC73c61.98$45 inWon+$16.984660.9%28 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1151…c27abacked Los Angeles Galaxy28c53.57$15 inLost-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5587…6d07backed Minnesota United FC73c27.4$20 inWon+$7.4771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+19.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad78…678cbacked Minnesota United FC78c19$15 inWon+$4.18683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick79cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Minnesota United FC76c16.63$13 inWon+$3.9937138.8%144 W · 227 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc32…32f8backed Minnesota United FC73c16.21$12 inWon+$4.38875%6 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.