Mls · resolved market
Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Minnesota United FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe425e0ccdf4a24e885bfd444d3a0c0068cf4b94890a5b73cffd13da5182043ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,683
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,993
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,683 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 56c | 3,172$1,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,406.56 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6204…0b06backed Over | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a89…8e52backed Under | 71c | 1,054$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 29c | 830.51$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.58 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 71c | 707.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.67 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 37c | 545.99$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.02 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Over | 39c | 446.5$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.36 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 38c | 395.26$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 105 | 62.9%66 W · 39 L | +9.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 36c | 363.93$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.02 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 15c | 314.35$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.89 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6cb…4a0cbacked Under | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ba…b99abacked Under | 72c | 281.97$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.51 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…7f3fbacked Over | 51c | 255.75$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 53c | 203.12$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.18 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a54…4e11backed Over | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 58c | 193.9$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.95 | 215 | 45.1%97 W · 118 L | -20.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 9c | 190.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 36c | 188$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.68 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3622…083dbacked Over | 28c | 176.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…c46abacked Under | 56c | 175$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.28per pick | 57cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 30c | 167.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 62 | 22.6%14 W · 48 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 63c | 144.76$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.26 | 371 | 38.8%144 W · 227 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Over | 37c | 135.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 48c | 132.77$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…f7c2backed Over | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 52c | 130.38$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.11 | 392 | 34.4%135 W · 257 L | -47.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 29c | 104.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 311 | 58.5%182 W · 129 L | +27.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Over | 15c | 98.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 36c | 98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 17c | 93.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 287 | 21.6%62 W · 225 L | -29.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Over | 36c | 91$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -10.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Under | 64c | 91$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfde8…c52fbacked Over | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecbb…a8c2backed Over | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Over | 31c | 65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 38c | 62.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 125 | 71.2%89 W · 36 L | +19.9wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 59c | 59.83$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.43 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 61c | 56.79$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -8.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 58c | 56.59$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.88 | 309 | 57%176 W · 133 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 65c | 55.96$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x034e…f79dbacked Over | 36c | 52.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 54c | 51.8$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 62c | 46.69$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 288 | 51.4%148 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 64c | 45.48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 35c | 45.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under | 64c | 43.88$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Under | 64c | 43.88$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Under | 62c | 42.58$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.18 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cee…5a4fbacked Over | 49c | 39.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Under | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 34c | 35.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 36c | 33.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 62c | 33.2$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Under | 64c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…9d57backed Under | 64c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Under | 64c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Under | 64c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce06…c99dbacked Under | 64c | 21.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Under | 64c | 21.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…18f9backed Under | 64c | 21.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Under | 52c | 19.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63c3…a7fdbacked Under | 65c | 18.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0be9…368dbacked Under | 65c | 15.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Minnesota United FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Minnesota United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Minnesota United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Minnesota United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Minnesota United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Galaxy (-1.5)Minnesota United FC won
- Spread: Los Angeles Galaxy (-2.5)Minnesota United FC won
- Spread: Minnesota United FC (-1.5)Los Angeles Galaxy won
- Spread: Minnesota United FC (-2.5)Los Angeles Galaxy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.