Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Morgan State Bears (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd45a195e6ef5f2a9873878c454d4912bde8dde71f6d9c596ea62c8536e699701
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Delaware State Hornetsof Morgan State Bears, Delaware State Hornets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,274
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,274 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Delaware State Hornets | 47c | 11,449$5,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,073.95 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec1…057cbacked Morgan State Bears | 53c | 9,491$5,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,029.98 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Morgan State Bears | 53c | 3,632$1,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,926.7 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Morgan State Bears | 53c | 3,294$1,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,745.65 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd36…6ec9backed Delaware State Hornets | 47c | 3,137$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,662.83 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Delaware State Hornets | 47c | 2,067$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.3 | 155 | 56.1%87 W · 68 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Morgan State Bears | 51c | 1,123$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.92 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Delaware State Hornets | 49c | 1,122$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.42 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9b…3de2backed Delaware State Hornets | 47c | 1,079$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Morgan State Bears | 53c | 999.98$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.99 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Morgan State Bears | 52c | 905.06$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.63 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Delaware State Hornets | 47c | 852.98$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.59 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Delaware State Hornets | 48c | 586.49$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.25 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Delaware State Hornets | 47c | 529.7$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.95 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Morgan State Bears | 52c | 381.49$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.25 | 162 | 53.1%86 W · 76 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6da6…7d01backed Delaware State Hornets | 48c | 266.4$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Delaware State Hornets | 58c | 227.59$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.96 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Delaware State Hornets | 47c | 211.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.41 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Delaware State Hornets | 52c | 208.17$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.92 | 237 | 54.9%130 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…d58cbacked Morgan State Bears | 52c | 199.31$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.08 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Delaware State Hornets | 47c | 198.26$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.08 | 388 | 37.6%146 W · 242 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb6…25eabacked Morgan State Bears | 49c | 195.81$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.15 | 226 | 40.7%92 W · 134 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Morgan State Bears | 55c | 181.3$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 338 | 55%186 W · 152 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Delaware State Hornets | 48c | 165.21$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.91 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Delaware State Hornets | 72c | 154.95$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.22 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Delaware State Hornets | 64c | 152.51$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.43 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Delaware State Hornets | 47c | 146.35$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.84 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Delaware State Hornets | 47c | 140.4$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.41 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Delaware State Hornets | 60c | 139.98$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.4 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Morgan State Bears | 38c | 138.59$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.06 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Delaware State Hornets | 47c | 124.88$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.12 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Delaware State Hornets | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Morgan State Bears | 53c | 100.12$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.55 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Delaware State Hornets | 51c | 58.31$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.57 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Delaware State Hornets | 71c | 56.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 358 | 52%186 W · 172 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Delaware State Hornets | 54c | 50.03$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.13 | 353 | 38.5%136 W · 217 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Delaware State Hornets | 67c | 49.4$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Delaware State Hornets | 47c | 43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Delaware State Hornets | 47c | 43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 485 | 51.1%248 W · 237 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Delaware State Hornets | 47c | 43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Delaware State Hornets | 48c | 41.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.65 | 241 | 48.5%117 W · 124 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Delaware State Hornets | 49c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 62 | 72.6%45 W · 17 L | +10.9wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Delaware State Hornets | 45c | 39.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.95 | 276 | 50.7%140 W · 136 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…de96backed Delaware State Hornets | 48c | 38.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.93 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc62e…108dbacked Delaware State Hornets | 47c | 34.97$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.53 | 106 | 38.7%41 W · 65 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Delaware State Hornets | 47c | 33.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.52 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa0…7191backed Delaware State Hornets | 46c | 29.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x287c…81b2backed Morgan State Bears | 35c | 29.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Delaware State Hornets | 47c | 25.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Delaware State Hornets | 52c | 25.54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Delaware State Hornets | 50c | 24.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8441…7925backed Delaware State Hornets | 52c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x81f3…1f2abacked Morgan State Bears | 55c | 21.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Morgan State Bears (-2.5)this page
- Delaware State Hornets vs. Morgan State BearsDelaware State Hornets won
- Delaware State Hornets vs. Morgan State Bears: O/U 143.5Over won
- Spread: Morgan State Bears (-3.5)Delaware State Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.