La Liga · resolved market
Will Burgos CF win on 2026-03-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xddc52c448f726895823447b1973bd71a13476d76d1e76f209ab6340aaf13b511
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,290
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,290 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed No | 50c | 5,634$2,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,817.18 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Yes | 50c | 3,282$1,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640.94 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 50c | 2,556$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed No | 50c | 1,323$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 75c | 1,300$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.57 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 52c | 990.33$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.36 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35f1…93d9backed Yes | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 38c | 844.01$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.44 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…77b7backed Yes | 76c | 600$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 49c | 550.59$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.83 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 49c | 432.99$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.74 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 50c | 384.9$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.29 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed No | 50c | 306$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 50c | 247.48$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.74 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 51c | 239.09$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.84 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed No | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 117 | 40.2%47 W · 70 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd8…5cdbbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed No | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 50c | 190$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 51c | 171.56$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.06 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 74c | 168.49$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.97 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa0…7191backed No | 50c | 155.76$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.88 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8f70backed Yes | 51c | 147.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.06 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0d…dea7backed Yes | 50c | 141.28$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.28 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…8cbdbacked Yes | 57c | 116.71$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.71 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked No | 41c | 106$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.46 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 59c | 106$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.46 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7607…85debacked Yes | 50c | 99.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.21 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 215 | 46%99 W · 116 L | -14.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 49c | 52.56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.51 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8353…01a8backed Yes | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a6…44edbacked No | 51c | 48.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.89 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 262 | 42.7%112 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…964fbacked No | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 49c | 31.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 481 | 53.6%258 W · 223 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 49c | 29.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Yes | 78c | 27.9$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.14 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed Yes | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 216 | 48.6%105 W · 111 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Yes | 50c | 21.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1e…945cbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Burgos CF win on 2026-03-07?this page
- Will Burgos CF vs. CD Mirandés end in a draw?No won
- Will CD Mirandés win on 2026-03-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.