La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-03-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd27790910c289816906cda407ea5c013a87ac2df4ddaaa4e59929d5ad17e65a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,909
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,909 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc7fb…e5fdbacked No | 55c | 4,962$2,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,720.55 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 47c | 2,022$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.08 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 54c | 1,500$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.4 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 45c | 1,210$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.38 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 49c | 1,093$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.57 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 49c | 963.14$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.29 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 42c | 834.33$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.57 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Yes | 51c | 800$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.46 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 50c | 673.71$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 9c | 457.46$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.68 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.09 | 201 | 48.8%98 W · 103 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 50c | 241.45$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.63 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Yes | 49c | 202.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.12 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…5d96backed Yes | 50c | 201.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.1 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 51c | 147.34$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.34 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 50c | 120.58$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.61 | 319 | 52.4%167 W · 152 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Yes | 49c | 118.33$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.92 | 262 | 42.7%112 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes | 45c | 117.7$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.73 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 31c | 109.9$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.83 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6516…dfdabacked Yes | 50c | 102$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 50c | 102$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.39 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Yes | 47c | 101.15$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.15 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 61c | 100.26$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.16 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…3e60backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 139 | 58.3%81 W · 58 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 36c | 99.18$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.04 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Yes | 46c | 98.66$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.44 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Yes | 48c | 97.92$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.92 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3e…c414backed Yes | 39c | 89.74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.74 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda86…6ff9backed Yes | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Yes | 53c | 70.59$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.09 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce9…e7afbacked No | 53c | 67.48$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4739…a1c1backed Yes | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 37cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 49c | 65.78$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 57c | 63$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.37 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a6…44edbacked Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d3…522abacked Yes | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 47c | 53.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa0…7191backed No | 52c | 52.15$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.12 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafcd…8014backed Yes | 45c | 44.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…1966backed Yes | 45c | 43.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.98 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…e598backed Yes | 45c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.91 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 51c | 43.27$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fd…6578backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6653…4f3dbacked Yes | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd569…7c74backed Yes | 50c | 39.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccad…46ecbacked No | 51c | 38.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd2…f9aebacked Yes | 39c | 38.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.93 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…cbd5backed Yes | 45c | 37.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.57 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 262 | 41.2%108 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…1822backed Yes | 50c | 33.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.61 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5599…326dbacked Yes | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3108…8a52backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +5.9wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e7…884cbacked No | 51c | 29.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd832…67e0backed Yes | 41c | 29.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 45c | 28.36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.49 | 174 | 55.2%96 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 52c | 25.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Yes | 46c | 24.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 46c | 22.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 129 | 25.6%33 W · 96 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1579backed Yes | 50c | 21.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc877…05b4backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe46b…b195backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdc…a29fbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1e…945cbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a2…f00dbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 216 | 48.6%105 W · 111 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-03-08?this page
- Will Córdoba CF win on 2026-03-08?No won
- Will Real Racing Club vs. Córdoba CF end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.