La Liga · resolved market
Will Cádiz CF win on 2026-03-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f2bae9e5193d1fae63465eea5ef5155d81f23ebf4a31495208a6665af611d21
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,840
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,840 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 43c | 4,005$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 2,798$2,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.45 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 59c | 2,221$1,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.31 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 67c | 1,999$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.22 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x036c…178dbacked Yes | 41c | 1,477$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.37 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6094…e860backed No | 59c | 1,300$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 31c | 1,249$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.78 | 132 | 30.3%40 W · 92 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 10c | 991.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 138 | 24.6%34 W · 104 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 57c | 916.02$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.36 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 42c | 876.13$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.98 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 17c | 782.35$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 378 | 29.4%111 W · 267 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed Yes | 5c | 444.69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 55 | 21.8%12 W · 43 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 57c | 435.84$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 34c | 207.48$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.32 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e4…ca67backed No | 58c | 203.45$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 58c | 193.93$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.13 | 288 | 47.6%137 W · 151 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 43c | 159.55$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.44 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 44c | 159.09$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 56c | 132.12$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.13 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa69a…3360backed Yes | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 56c | 125$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 56c | 114.3$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.29 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Yes | 43c | 112.35$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 324 | 44.8%145 W · 179 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 56c | 107.34$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.23 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed No | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc067…e97cbacked No | 58c | 87$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.54 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa0…7191backed No | 56c | 83.03$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.53 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 57c | 78.18$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.62 | 481 | 53.6%258 W · 223 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 34c | 77.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.38 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 43c | 67.44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 59c | 59.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.9 | 95 | 71.6%68 W · 27 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed Yes | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Yes | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Yes | 43c | 50.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 255 | 51.4%131 W · 124 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 43c | 44.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 117 | 40.2%47 W · 70 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e7…884cbacked No | 56c | 41.31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.18 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a49…4292backed No | 58c | 41.05$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Yes | 43c | 39.51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…1966backed Yes | 44c | 33.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 57c | 31.67$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.57 | 319 | 52.4%167 W · 152 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…54f0backed No | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…cbd5backed Yes | 44c | 28.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc046…f138backed Yes | 43c | 26.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3b…6583backed Yes | 43c | 24.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…16d6backed Yes | 43c | 24.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 43c | 23.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 754 | 51.2%386 W · 368 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 76c | 21.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 596 | 55.4%330 W · 266 L | +31.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae3…fdecbacked No | 59c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 57c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a18…59a1backed No | 59c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 60c | 17.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cádiz CF win on 2026-03-06?this page
- Will Cádiz CF vs. Real Zaragoza end in a draw?No won
- Will Real Zaragoza win on 2026-03-06?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.