La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Zaragoza win on 2026-03-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb29712de17d4bcf77dee9cc9ca275212c5be2df60c6fb5fa3872964eeb1fad2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,403
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,403 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 13c | 4,741$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.63 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x363e…ae45backed No | 7c | 915.64$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.43 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed No | 16c | 844.91$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.73 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 58c | 525.29$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.04 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Yes | 54c | 488.29$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.61 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 48c | 424.01$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.88 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 27c | 394.98$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.79 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 27c | 249.74$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.25 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 27c | 249.56$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 73c | 177.62$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.93 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 42c | 150$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 266 | 41.4%110 W · 156 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 68c | 150$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 24c | 148.41$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.67 | 351 | 45.6%160 W · 191 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 45c | 116$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 132 | 30.3%40 W · 92 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 55c | 90.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.93 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa50…27d6backed Yes | 56c | 75.18$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.08 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6757…a8bebacked No | 35c | 69.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes | 30c | 62.04$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.43 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac60…8980backed Yes | 56c | 55.5$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb28f…df20backed Yes | 29c | 51.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +243.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 119 | 62.2%74 W · 45 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed No | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 216 | 48.6%105 W · 111 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 37c | 35.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.49 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked No | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 324 | 44.8%145 W · 179 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…01ccbacked No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 72cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…df3cbacked Yes | 75c | 18.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +74.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75e3…4bd5backed No | 70c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Zaragoza win on 2026-03-06?this page
- Will Cádiz CF vs. Real Zaragoza end in a draw?No won
- Will Cádiz CF win on 2026-03-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.