La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B win on 2026-03-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb42a13b053dc694feb41be1a4ec32e4bbfb71ca1f8f50e154a22b578f3a48c6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,155
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,155 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 67c | 2,332$1,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.73 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xede1…54cbbacked No | 78c | 1,275$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 26c | 887.01$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.73 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 38c | 868.19$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.71 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked No | 71c | 415$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.07 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 17c | 288$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.04 | 117 | 36.8%43 W · 74 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 71c | 274.39$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.46 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 29c | 263.55$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.82 | 175 | 62.9%110 W · 65 L | +32.1wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 21c | 262.85$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.65 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 22c | 250$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 22c | 250$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 22c | 247.16$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.78 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Yes | 41c | 221.58$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.73 | 240 | 48.3%116 W · 124 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 30c | 172.22$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.78 | 351 | 45.6%160 W · 191 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd785…0d7ebacked Yes | 64c | 129.69$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.69 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 27c | 125$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.51 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e34…9434backed No | 78c | 103$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed No | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 192 | 58.9%113 W · 79 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 24c | 85.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 174 | 55.2%96 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 61 | 21.3%13 W · 48 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 21c | 63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.77 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 24c | 62.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.46 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bea…c4b2backed Yes | 28c | 53.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.42 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe579…ba5ebacked No | 65c | 53.08$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 21c | 53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.87 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…928ebacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes | 43c | 45.09$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.66 | 142 | 59.9%85 W · 57 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed No | 32c | 40.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 216 | 48.6%105 W · 111 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 324 | 44.8%145 W · 179 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 58c | 26.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…b4f1backed No | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 51c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 458 | 41%188 W · 270 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 65c | 23.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B win on 2026-03-07?this page
- Will CD Castellón win on 2026-03-07?No won
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. CD Castellón end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.