Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-03-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xabf41ea2091ab67472508529d2433e3297e0815873e7bfc8fcd6ca42105b668e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,449
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,449 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 50c | 18,677$9,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,339.6 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 48c | 6,779$3,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,525.19 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 52c | 5,872$3,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,839.53 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 74c | 4,166$3,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,082.66 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 51c | 3,172$1,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,604.17 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 78c | 2,849$2,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,222 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 52c | 2,732$1,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410.93 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 75c | 2,055$1,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.45 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 31c | 1,917$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.18 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 52c | 1,059$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.76 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 15c | 924.38$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.69 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 51c | 914.5$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.8 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 52c | 909.62$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 49c | 847.11$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.08 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 51c | 678.1$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.67 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb881…20a1backed Yes | 76c | 657.89$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 51c | 656$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.74 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Yes | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Yes | 75c | 557.89$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 26c | 311.71$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.2 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | +13.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 21c | 303.31$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.15 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 37c | 298.56$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.2 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd8…9372backed Yes | 20c | 274.09$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.46 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed Yes | 58c | 272.54$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.75 | 142 | 62.7%89 W · 53 L | +15.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 52c | 252$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.12 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 47c | 250$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.5 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…126cbacked Yes | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 40c | 196.4$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.05 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 60c | 190$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9952…ceb2backed No | 50c | 147.62$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.88 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 44c | 120.87$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.98 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9135…a63ebacked Yes | 79c | 110$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.41per pick | 61cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 64c | 104.7$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.51 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 48c | 89.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.79 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 52c | 86.54$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 23c | 84.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 48c | 75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3454…333bbacked Yes | 51c | 71.16$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.29 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Yes | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Yes | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4522…ef10backed Yes | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 64cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 47c | 63.03$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.41 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Yes | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 124 | 40.3%50 W · 74 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b4…570cbacked Yes | 49c | 59.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 33c | 56.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd32…c9aabacked Yes | 30c | 54.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…2234backed Yes | 61c | 54.1$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 33c | 49.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbf70…957bbacked Yes | 52c | 45.9$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73ed…06d5backed No | 49c | 43.65$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Yes | 25c | 43.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 52c | 43.17$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b2…4171backed No | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed Yes | 70c | 40.04$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Yes | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a30…b094backed Yes | 52c | 38.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x795a…2befbacked Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Yes | 49c | 37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 59c | 36.4$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 49c | 36.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 178 | 36.5%65 W · 113 L | -18.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -34%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x959b…64edbacked Yes | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2809…0b89backed Yes | 52c | 28.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…14fdbacked Yes | 42c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-03-08?this page
- Will CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Gil Vicente FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CF Estrela da Amadora win on 2026-03-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.