Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Gil Vicente FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47c5f303b2fc1940f43c8bc0155f884396a535431d31225b0cbad84f4f1650de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,143
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,816
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,143 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 58c | 5,600$3,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,346.74 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 45c | 2,372$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.06 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 27c | 1,144$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.09 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 42c | 966.43$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.9 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 41c | 725.21$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.69 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Yes | 33c | 676.01$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.28 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 71c | 583.79$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.49 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 56c | 487.58$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.61 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 67c | 376.9$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.38 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 78c | 315.66$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.93 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8544…3d33backed Yes | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed Yes | 53c | 225$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.76 | 77 | 75.3%58 W · 19 L | +12.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 24c | 203.17$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.81 | 178 | 36.5%65 W · 113 L | -18.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -34%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed No | 17c | 200.6$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 32c | 190$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 94 | 38.3%36 W · 58 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 73c | 135.13$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.64 | 142 | 62.7%89 W · 53 L | +15.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Yes | 29c | 120$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.2 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 67c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 28c | 57.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked No | 21c | 55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 60 | 25%15 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53c5…cb95backed Yes | 38c | 49.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.94 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 72c | 47.34$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.08 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0d…b02fbacked No | 35c | 46.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 70c | 45.27$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56a8…3639backed Yes | 74c | 34.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 58c | 29.91$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.59 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 72c | 24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 53c | 23.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…14fdbacked No | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 72c | 19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Gil Vicente FC end in a draw?this page
- Will CF Estrela da Amadora win on 2026-03-08?No won
- Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-03-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.