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Tennis · resolved market

Bastad: Sinja Kraus vs Caijsa Hennemann

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sinja Krausof Sinja Kraus, Caijsa Hennemann
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$120,835
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$121,680

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,835 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Caijsa Hennemann22c36,609$8,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,032.2394340.7%384 W · 559 L-30.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-23.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Caijsa Hennemann10c14,585$1,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,487.7411,77943.3%5,102 W · 6,677 L+20.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Sinja Kraus80c9,477$7,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,922.199,16136.1%3,309 W · 5,852 L-202.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Caijsa Hennemann26c5,659$1,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,471.131,37538.3%527 W · 848 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32e3…3a5cbacked Caijsa Hennemann20c3,148$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.6114246.5%66 W · 76 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Caijsa Hennemann27c2,783$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.995,35228.8%1,543 W · 3,809 L-21.5wins0.00per pick29cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Sinja Kraus74c2,724$2,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.241,69450.5%856 W · 838 L+13.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Sinja Kraus74c2,717$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.6195368.2%650 W · 303 L+11.1wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Sinja Kraus74c1,446$1,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.923,35948.5%1,630 W · 1,729 L-49.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Sinja Kraus73c1,439$1,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.164,37652.3%2,290 W · 2,086 L+67.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Sinja Kraus78c1,163$907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.344,78449.6%2,372 W · 2,412 L+177.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Caijsa Hennemann28c1,000$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.079,40644.3%4,171 W · 5,235 L-245.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Caijsa Hennemann33c999.98$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.993,89135%1,362 W · 2,529 L+93.9wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Sinja Kraus79c845.31$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.116,67850.7%3,387 W · 3,291 L+265.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Caijsa Hennemann25c599.93$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.987,12939.7%2,832 W · 4,297 L-14.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82fe…c30abacked Caijsa Hennemann17c588.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Caijsa Hennemann26c563.33$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.882,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc627…47b2backed Sinja Kraus76c526.32$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.3239856.5%225 W · 173 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Sinja Kraus76c510.68$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.551,96043.8%858 W · 1,102 L-20.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Sinja Kraus74c500$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13054047%254 W · 286 L-20.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sinja Kraus68c462.03$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.858,05750.8%4,089 W · 3,968 L+90.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Caijsa Hennemann18c419.34$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.968,83442.5%3,758 W · 5,076 L-169.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Caijsa Hennemann36c394.83$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.562,49251.3%1,279 W · 1,213 L+15.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Caijsa Hennemann24c377.27$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923,45738.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L-15.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3f9…45a7backed Sinja Kraus75c337.06$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.7538466.7%256 W · 128 L+0.8wins0.00per pick66cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42d6…01ccbacked Sinja Kraus75c333.33$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.331,07762.8%676 W · 401 L-27.9wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Caijsa Hennemann25c300$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752,28642.9%980 W · 1,306 L+37.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b35…51b3backed Sinja Kraus74c268.6$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.635360.9%215 W · 138 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2002…a75ebacked Caijsa Hennemann26c267.37$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.7533544.2%148 W · 187 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed Caijsa Hennemann31c240$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.41,58842.3%672 W · 916 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x962e…1d75backed Sinja Kraus72c236.47$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.2140360.8%245 W · 158 L-0.6wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Caijsa Hennemann22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503,27940.3%1,322 W · 1,957 L+24.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ca6…4b74backed Caijsa Hennemann29c206$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.7445142.8%193 W · 258 L+16.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Sinja Kraus74c200$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5298255.4%544 W · 438 L+3.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6770…5bdfbacked Caijsa Hennemann27c194.14$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.4296945.9%445 W · 524 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Sinja Kraus78c192.41$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.41,88048.5%912 W · 968 L+8.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc5ea…42e8backed Sinja Kraus73c188.17$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5590559.6%539 W · 366 L+1.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f4…81a6backed Caijsa Hennemann8c187.49$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1517810.7%19 W · 159 L+0.8wins0.00per pick10cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc369…b1ccbacked Sinja Kraus72c179.17$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.1740454.7%221 W · 183 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a80…d472backed Sinja Kraus66c166.67$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.671,20652.4%632 W · 574 L+27.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c5f…dcdebacked Sinja Kraus64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.25966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+36.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Caijsa Hennemann26c148.15$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.521,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd93d…27a0backed Caijsa Hennemann30c139.31$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.351644.8%231 W · 285 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefa3…7585backed Sinja Kraus72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8910158.4%59 W · 42 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Sinja Kraus80c138.73$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.842,88149.5%1,427 W · 1,454 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc19…31c4backed Caijsa Hennemann27c133.61$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.6332546.2%150 W · 175 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Caijsa Hennemann34c132$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.8857049.1%280 W · 290 L+24.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1aa…16cfbacked Sinja Kraus76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5816968%115 W · 54 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Caijsa Hennemann24c131.58$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5827041.9%113 W · 157 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x256b…97bbbacked Caijsa Hennemann8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e43…0306backed Caijsa Hennemann22c125$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8532726.9%88 W · 239 L-43.6wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-41.3%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Caijsa Hennemann21c119$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.991,27661%778 W · 498 L+27.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bf9…8292backed Caijsa Hennemann27c118.48$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9959357.8%343 W · 250 L+21.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Caijsa Hennemann33c117.73$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8546252.8%244 W · 218 L+11.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked Caijsa Hennemann28c114.29$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321,35638.3%520 W · 836 L+2.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28be…6dbebacked Caijsa Hennemann27c111.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3023536.6%86 W · 149 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Caijsa Hennemann27c111$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.972,22336.9%821 W · 1,402 L+40.2wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabbf…126cbacked Sinja Kraus72c106.94$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.9411050%55 W · 55 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b56…a082backed Sinja Kraus64c104$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.6445063.6%286 W · 164 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30b7…1fb7backed Sinja Kraus78c102.56$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.562171.4%15 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Caijsa Hennemann31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311,54249.2%759 W · 783 L+16.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x626d…e570backed Caijsa Hennemann26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2652135.1%183 W · 338 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3af5…caebbacked Sinja Kraus75c99.25$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.819961.6%61 W · 38 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc12e…7c8abacked Caijsa Hennemann26c96.15$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257524%18 W · 57 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+36.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d0a…ea32backed Caijsa Hennemann12c86.25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.743618.3%80 W · 356 L-21.4wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-32.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9671…3a70backed Caijsa Hennemann25c79.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.88837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+24.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Caijsa Hennemann28c78.57$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222,17937%807 W · 1,372 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5803…3f3fbacked Caijsa Hennemann18c65.96$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121,05648.3%510 W · 546 L+43.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Caijsa Hennemann34c64.85$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.354,04145.7%1,848 W · 2,193 L-28.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2abe…6e2dbacked Caijsa Hennemann26c62.34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.318542.4%36 W · 49 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf504…0111backed Caijsa Hennemann17c61.83$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.431,13356.8%643 W · 490 L+54.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x982c…0d6ebacked Caijsa Hennemann25c57.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.633234.4%11 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Caijsa Hennemann26c56.25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4441045.1%185 W · 225 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Sinja Kraus69c55.64$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.251,07357.4%616 W · 457 L+21.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aff…cd8dbacked Sinja Kraus75c53.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Caijsa Hennemann25c50.85$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7148345.8%221 W · 262 L-10.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Caijsa Hennemann27c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.51,27445%573 W · 701 L-2.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x985d…33c9backed Caijsa Hennemann27c46.3$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.51,30036.9%480 W · 820 L-34.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Caijsa Hennemann35c43.51$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3154746.8%256 W · 291 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Sinja Kraus75c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102,05959.5%1,226 W · 833 L-0.8wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf184…d472backed Caijsa Hennemann26c39.89$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.449453.2%50 W · 44 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Sinja Kraus78c39.25$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.491,25752%654 W · 603 L+45.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9bbe…f8d9backed Caijsa Hennemann26c39$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1410233.3%34 W · 68 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcd6…f3c8backed Sinja Kraus75c37.18$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2947251.3%242 W · 230 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b89…9183backed Sinja Kraus68c35.67$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4120566.8%137 W · 68 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbe4…f12fbacked Sinja Kraus69c32.16$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9760065.3%392 W · 208 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ef1…5acabacked Sinja Kraus69c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.31,79460.2%1,080 W · 714 L+6.8wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b9e…cb21backed Sinja Kraus74c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.8413559.3%80 W · 55 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a60…2223backed Sinja Kraus75c29.33$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.33683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick63cpaid+34.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x11a2…0532backed Sinja Kraus75c26.87$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.7220771%147 W · 60 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x53c9…234dbacked Sinja Kraus62c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.68658.1%50 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38ef…8800backed Sinja Kraus73c16.76$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.5311851.7%61 W · 57 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.