La Liga · resolved market
Will UD Almería win on 2026-04-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3af71b5f8bc8c7881572b7b7716f4c8f059e293c42e67342b4831ed83735d4a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,287
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,355
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,287 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x31c1…7047backed No | 48c | 2,998$1,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,453.64 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 56c | 2,583$1,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.07 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 65c | 1,018$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.15 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 47c | 781.97$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.53 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccda…21f3backed No | 50c | 776$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 50c | 691.59$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.08 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed No | 49c | 589.9$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.05 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked No | 34c | 585.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.79 | 229 | 39.3%90 W · 139 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked No | 28c | 540.71$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.35 | 180 | 62.2%112 W · 68 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 78c | 432.64$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.64 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…84c5backed Yes | 53c | 421.32$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 11c | 402.67$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.73 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 47c | 389.57$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.26 | 351 | 45.6%160 W · 191 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f74…f2a6backed No | 51c | 380.72$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.12 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…7857backed Yes | 53c | 377.07$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.48 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Yes | 53c | 366.72$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.36 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…4408backed Yes | 77c | 360.89$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed No | 66c | 307.9$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.25 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes | 61c | 255.83$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.77 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed No | 50c | 247.91$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.9 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…126cbacked Yes | 52c | 219.95$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.58 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf09b…2101backed No | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed Yes | 75c | 196.8$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 43 | 76.7%33 W · 10 L | +9.8wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Yes | 53c | 194.36$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.35 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 26c | 189.91$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.35 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 44c | 180.75$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.75 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…b6f1backed Yes | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.83 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 70c | 177$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.11 | 201 | 42.8%86 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Yes | 44c | 175.71$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.4 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafc4…daa1backed No | 16c | 167$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.72 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked No | 15c | 160.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 51c | 151.74$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.17 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…729cbacked No | 8c | 148.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Yes | 75c | 146.01$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.79 | 61 | 70.5%43 W · 18 L | +9.9wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 46c | 141.25$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.36 | 189 | 56.6%107 W · 82 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 23c | 128.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 444 | 24.1%107 W · 337 L | -50.1wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 24c | 119.64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 43c | 113.92$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cff…15d1backed Yes | 53c | 113.68$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.43 | 227 | 40.1%91 W · 136 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 46c | 104.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa179…258ebacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +180%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…4f4fbacked Yes | 33c | 99.46$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 53c | 98.92$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.46 | 458 | 41%188 W · 270 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 51c | 95.92$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 51c | 95.65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.73 | 234 | 56.4%132 W · 102 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed No | 21c | 90.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 51c | 77.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.05 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Yes | 63c | 73.1$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.19 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 51c | 72.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.76 | 357 | 59.4%212 W · 145 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb475…978cbacked Yes | 43c | 72.44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.29 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 48c | 60.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…56e5backed Yes | 54c | 54.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…c252backed No | 49c | 50.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 49c | 46.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 192 | 47.4%91 W · 101 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7743…1baebacked Yes | 45c | 45.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.82 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebc3…5f01backed Yes | 43c | 44.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec9…b76bbacked No | 30c | 37.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8761…5619backed Yes | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 62c | 36.48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 168 | 60.1%101 W · 67 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed No | 47c | 36.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…bb76backed No | 37c | 36.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Yes | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59a1…8263backed Yes | 72c | 28.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…8314backed No | 63c | 27.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf75b…ed74backed Yes | 44c | 26.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.61 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 49c | 23.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Yes | 51c | 22.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.19 | 324 | 44.8%145 W · 179 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 52c | 21.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 54c | 20.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 68 | 79.4%54 W · 14 L | +14.7wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +44%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x138a…8197backed Yes | 79c | 18.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 72cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed No | 58c | 17.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will UD Almería win on 2026-04-19?this page
- Will Málaga CF win on 2026-04-19?No won
- Will UD Almería vs. Málaga CF end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.