La Liga · resolved market
Will UD Almería vs. Málaga CF end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbaf4a56561397e3389b0fb1f00e2fd132f00cead607d3e73d96bbb33c5539e38
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,037
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,739
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,037 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 23c | 49,552$11,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,356.67 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 69c | 18,661$12,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,841.24 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 77c | 13,342$10,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,073.13 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 73c | 10,019$7,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,741.18 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked No | 77c | 5,430$4,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.01 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 65c | 1,703$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.99 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 77c | 1,361$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.96 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 77c | 384.82$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.62 | 351 | 45.6%160 W · 191 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Yes | 46c | 384.39$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.38 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 96 | 29.2%28 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 76c | 297.36$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.26 | 219 | 50.2%110 W · 109 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 253.8$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.45 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…729cbacked No | 52c | 221.07$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.07 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed No | 76c | 171.5$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.06 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45ba…a797backed Yes | 25c | 164.26$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Yes | 25c | 163.29$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.58 | 61 | 70.5%43 W · 18 L | +9.9wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 40c | 151.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.97 | 180 | 62.2%112 W · 68 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c14…68f3backed Yes | 17c | 150$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 6cpaid | +202.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…cfffbacked No | 77c | 128.08$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 28c | 125.48$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 413 | 48.7%201 W · 212 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe89…08dbbacked No | 79c | 121.4$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…4f4fbacked Yes | 24c | 114.49$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 63c | 104.26$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.49 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 77c | 99.36$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.81 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 35c | 96.1$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.64 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8561…337bbacked No | 21c | 90.72$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.67 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 17c | 89.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 444 | 24.1%107 W · 337 L | -50.1wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked No | 72c | 87.62$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Yes | 25c | 76.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -8.8wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Yes | 27c | 74.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 72c | 73.74$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.04 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 75c | 70$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…d801backed No | 80c | 61.75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 76c | 60.44$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 75c | 54$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…1749backed Yes | 37c | 52.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 34cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…c252backed Yes | 71c | 52$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.97 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f15…0ce5backed Yes | 48c | 29.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked No | 77c | 27.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a1…3a92backed No | 76c | 25.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 189 | 56.6%107 W · 82 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed No | 79c | 14.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45cf…0f46backed No | 78c | 13.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.07 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will UD Almería vs. Málaga CF end in a draw?this page
- Will Málaga CF win on 2026-04-19?No won
- Will UD Almería win on 2026-04-19?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.