La Liga · resolved market
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-04-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6a67b817bf9fa79e251f000c0982d19e33bb3423c5153d855f19132fdc5b7a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,853
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,549
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,853 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 5c | 49,797$2,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,489.82 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Yes | 22c | 1,300$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.96 | 98 | 33.7%33 W · 65 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 77c | 829.14$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.75 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebae…fb79backed Yes | 18c | 792.53$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.8 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x477b…f7c5backed Yes | 13c | 729.08$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.78 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc936…c08abacked Yes | 23c | 432.4$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.45 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Yes | 4c | 300.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd785…0d7ebacked Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb83f…82c8backed Yes | 13c | 285.56$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.06 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 25c | 199.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x078f…aa10backed Yes | 23c | 62.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04d0…468abacked Yes | 23c | 62.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 77c | 58.51$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 481 | 53.6%258 W · 223 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2119…9303backed Yes | 25c | 57.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 20c | 56.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 262 | 41.2%108 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 27c | 46.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 77c | 34.52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.94 | 129 | 58.1%75 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 76c | 19.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 73c | 18.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 76c | 16.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb1…cddbbacked No | 77c | 15.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.53 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Málaga CF win on 2026-04-19?this page
- Will UD Almería vs. Málaga CF end in a draw?No won
- Will UD Almería win on 2026-04-19?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.