South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Tucumán win on 2026-03-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa176f57366daf96ab00a37fde9cc5be62147cb4195d0562ef40f21a6532a32b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,313
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,313 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 28c | 1,250$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.48 | 128 | 27.3%35 W · 93 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 24c | 931.8$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.22 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 67c | 809.93$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.87 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 11c | 568.22$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…24f0backed Yes | 34c | 368.24$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Yes | 33c | 330.71$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.49 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 13c | 293.91$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.04 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 33c | 242.56$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.9 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 7c | 229.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 66c | 216$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.44 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 32c | 149.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 218 | 37.6%82 W · 136 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 33c | 126.96$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.9 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 68c | 101.3$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.42 | 270 | 53%143 W · 127 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 33c | 99.06$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.69 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…78debacked No | 73c | 96.98$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.75 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 20c | 96.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e7…e57fbacked No | 68c | 88.49$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.72 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Yes | 34c | 74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…700bbacked No | 66c | 60.6$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8a…8775backed No | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 67cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 67c | 59.25$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.62 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Yes | 34c | 59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Yes | 34c | 59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 33c | 58.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 33c | 50.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 32c | 48.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 66c | 46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 32c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 67c | 41.72$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Yes | 32c | 36.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 99 | 36.4%36 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc990…80bbbacked No | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked No | 67c | 33.82$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60e8…50c2backed Yes | 35c | 29.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 68c | 23.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 212 | 66.5%141 W · 71 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 79 | 73.4%58 W · 21 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 65c | 19.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd51…ce69backed No | 71c | 17.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Tucumán win on 2026-03-16?this page
- Will CA Barracas Central vs. CA Tucumán end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-03-16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.