South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Barracas Central vs. CA Tucumán end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8570986915642d34ff8ebef40823812526d4f532b65932bbe2edbd94c33fa3a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,203
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,203 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 57c | 15,000$8,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,550 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 74c | 7,559$5,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,929.44 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 24c | 6,468$1,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,526.7 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 33c | 6,000$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.97 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 46c | 3,375$1,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,828.3 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed No | 67c | 2,632$1,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.56 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 67c | 2,467$1,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.94 | 187 | 42.2%79 W · 108 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 47c | 1,144$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.26 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed No | 67c | 1,022$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.3 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 32c | 1,019$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.54 | 128 | 27.3%35 W · 93 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked No | 67c | 875$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.75 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 22c | 769.49$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.19 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 27c | 628.75$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.35 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 66c | 530.7$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.31 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 33c | 463.45$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.94 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe293…d3edbacked Yes | 21c | 265.64$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf639…b945backed Yes | 22c | 232.93$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.63 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 33c | 216.29$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.38 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x106e…28e5backed Yes | 19c | 210$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6b…591abacked Yes | 19c | 192.75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.24 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 34c | 166.28$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.54 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Yes | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 16c | 156.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x625b…031fbacked Yes | 27c | 135.59$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.01 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4105…e714backed Yes | 34c | 134$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76d8…4a3abacked Yes | 34c | 132$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 30c | 127.95$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.96 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3891…f705backed Yes | 20c | 121.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d54…86d1backed Yes | 34c | 117.59$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 34c | 117.12$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.82 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 26c | 114.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 33c | 112.76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.59 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7db2…ca52backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0632…d1b7backed Yes | 23c | 106.52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f5…f924backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde66…be48backed Yes | 20c | 101.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba49…e8acbacked Yes | 19c | 98.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd51…ce69backed Yes | 26c | 95.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Yes | 28c | 83.81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.72 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 71c | 82.08$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.47 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 74c | 80$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.73 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4796…79fcbacked Yes | 25c | 75.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 22c | 68.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd82b…c85dbacked No | 67c | 62$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce3…ff2abacked Yes | 24c | 61.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 75c | 61.17$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.49 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 32c | 56.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 22c | 55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cd…e98dbacked Yes | 19c | 54.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b05…712abacked No | 67c | 54$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x287c…81b2backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 66c | 46.16$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 175 | 60.6%106 W · 69 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 66c | 46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Yes | 23c | 44.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 116 | 64.7%75 W · 41 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b64…72eabacked Yes | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -32%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6058…1327backed Yes | 27c | 42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e6…1614backed No | 67c | 37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Yes | 34c | 33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -8.7wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b80…8b39backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x860f…1403backed No | 67c | 31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe694…54a0backed No | 68c | 29.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5765…43a3backed No | 74c | 21.34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed No | 76c | 21.34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.03 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf9…b178backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2c…567ebacked No | 67c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked No | 67c | 17.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Barracas Central vs. CA Tucumán end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-03-16?Yes won
- Will CA Tucumán win on 2026-03-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.