TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Will AZ win on 2026-03-15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$86,822

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,822 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7879…3653backed Yes69c15,888$11,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,888.172638.5%10 W · 16 L-3.8wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-35%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No31c12,608$3,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,908.4366047.6%314 W · 346 L+1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes73c9,007$6,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,452.3929742.8%127 W · 170 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No28c7,827$2,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,162.5143546.7%203 W · 232 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No30c7,652$2,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,261.572,06848.1%995 W · 1,073 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No16c4,417$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.017,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes72c4,106$2,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,149.665846.6%27 W · 31 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes69c4,000$2,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,24037641.5%156 W · 220 L-17.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No30c3,570$1,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,056.112,33446.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No12c3,541$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.492,13045.8%975 W · 1,155 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b93…e941backed No30c3,333$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.0160%0 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.40per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes76c2,692$2,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.9913050%65 W · 65 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2c54…7e41backed No28c2,500$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7009755.7%54 W · 43 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+22.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1263…fddcbacked Yes68c1,350$918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No29c1,211$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.171,14353.2%608 W · 535 L+44.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No24c1,112$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.534158.9%201 W · 140 L+25.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No8c1,028$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.742,64035.7%942 W · 1,698 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No24c1,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24086960.4%525 W · 344 L+91.3wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+35.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes69c780$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.231,44151.1%736 W · 705 L-16.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes69c740.09$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.651,46748%704 W · 763 L+3.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1333…173bbacked No32c624.25$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.761060%6 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+59.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No3c583.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.95,60442%2,356 W · 3,248 L+75.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98e9…8dbebacked Yes77c577.84$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.193444.1%15 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe92e…0a8dbacked No28c549.99$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.56217.7%11 W · 51 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-22.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked No23c525.05$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.8810323.3%24 W · 79 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-31.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No26c421.01$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.7198653.2%525 W · 461 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes69c420.79$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.231,10747.7%528 W · 579 L+1.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No28c362$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.3623746.8%111 W · 126 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No27c342.14$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.387261.1%44 W · 28 L+7.6wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+23.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed No31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010846.3%50 W · 58 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No19c283.14$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.461,40129.2%409 W · 992 L-32.2wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3542…24f0backed Yes72c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.782931%9 W · 20 L-5.4wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-39.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No15c238.61$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.763849.5%316 W · 322 L+26.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x660d…56acbacked Yes71c238.53$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.5326549.4%131 W · 134 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No29c209.35$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.1477350.2%388 W · 385 L+2.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No28c205.99$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.5712437.9%47 W · 77 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked No5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10240%0 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No30c162.44$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.821,22251%623 W · 599 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1066…a2cabacked No32c150.84$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.27450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed No31c150.06$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.528955.1%49 W · 40 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No28c149.91$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.9757019.8%113 W · 457 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9311343.4%49 W · 64 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes74c143.31$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.2617146.8%80 W · 91 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb8…f7debacked No10c142.87$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.71154.5%6 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.28per pick26cpaid+62.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4865…904dbacked Yes72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.892673.1%19 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick68cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba6c…5cb6backed Yes72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.891450%7 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No28c138.8$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8385250.4%429 W · 423 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed Yes72c138.04$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.0414468.8%99 W · 45 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf97d…85ddbacked Yes73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.99250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked No28c120$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3430646.7%143 W · 163 L-1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed No29c114.4$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0113258.3%77 W · 55 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb61e…a10bbacked No23c108.31$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No30c108.28$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4811755.6%65 W · 52 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ef5…0366backed No33c100.52$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.171030%3 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d5…13eebacked Yes72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2821473.4%157 W · 57 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick71cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3167050.6%339 W · 331 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed Yes68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3213252.3%69 W · 63 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3541…78debacked No16c94$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.041266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No14c85.47$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9643721.7%95 W · 342 L-49.3wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-50.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No30c80$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2440850.7%207 W · 201 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes79c74$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.291,09850.5%554 W · 544 L-36.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked No26c73.31$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0618450.5%93 W · 91 L-10.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked No29c69.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0814954.4%81 W · 68 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b03…b766backed Yes72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.444763.8%30 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x423f…4fa8backed Yes72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.443100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+61.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77c4…d390backed Yes72c68.1$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.071266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No28c62$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3621755.3%120 W · 97 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Yes72c51.7$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4811052.7%58 W · 52 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x030d…8e95backed No24c50.79$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.192850%14 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4ad…4c1fbacked Yes72c50.01$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No32c49$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.482,54352.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L+18.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3036…15c2backed Yes72c46.14$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.928851.1%45 W · 43 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fd3…bd7fbacked Yes72c45.44$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.721963.2%12 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick73cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0484…4830backed No29c42.24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.255862.1%36 W · 22 L+0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac24…576ebacked Yes72c40.65$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.382347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd3a…9993backed Yes68c39.47$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6312562.4%78 W · 47 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+19.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5004…c07bbacked No32c37.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123060%18 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x56a7…8eeebacked No31c35.48$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a25…bb6bbacked Yes74c33.78$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.781546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick54cpaid+2.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9db…dd44backed Yes69c29$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.996753.7%36 W · 31 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec5a…a319backed Yes71c28.11$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.112642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd713…4fcebacked Yes72c27.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.782100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+75.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14b2…e75fbacked Yes71c22.31$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.471361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc81…cc74backed Yes69c21.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.74988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.27per pick62cpaid+49.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4d0f…72ddbacked Yes72c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.62100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.