Premier League · resolved market
Will Stoke City FC win on 2026-03-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x296d9faff28025cae9734d3564ec0af77ee3787aad8f7425cb1ff011e687c774
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,299
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,299 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked No | 66c | 9,432$6,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,237.48 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 68c | 6,268$4,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,027.12 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 34c | 4,705$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,105.15 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Yes | 35c | 3,591$1,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,334.43 | 125 | 32.8%41 W · 84 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 65c | 2,817$1,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,831.19 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 34c | 1,367$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.37 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 34c | 1,245$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.83 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 61c | 1,144$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.01 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 33c | 1,102$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.91 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 66c | 513$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.18 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 34c | 501.54$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.51 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 33c | 499.99$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.49 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 33c | 499.55$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.2 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 34c | 391.22$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.3 | 131 | 32.1%42 W · 89 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed No | 36c | 333.33$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -7.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 35c | 308$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.2 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked No | 4c | 300$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 93 | 3.2%3 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 112 | 23.2%26 W · 86 L | -10.0wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 71c | 252$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.08 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9493…7988backed Yes | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 208 | 40.9%85 W · 123 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 34c | 163.92$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.57 | 365 | 54.5%199 W · 166 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 71c | 150$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 451 | 42.6%192 W · 259 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa88e…4383backed Yes | 34c | 128$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd90…7b44backed Yes | 34c | 121$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 66c | 118$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.88 | 207 | 63.8%132 W · 75 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 34c | 117.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.55 | 253 | 48.2%122 W · 131 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 33c | 109.37$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.89 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Yes | 66c | 108.76$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.98 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b3…70c5backed Yes | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed No | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4469backed No | 35c | 73.53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 289 | 50.9%147 W · 142 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…434ebacked Yes | 33c | 73$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.91 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.8wins | +0.42per pick | 36cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7b…9ab9backed Yes | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 77c | 68.19$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 23c | 67.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45c1…4364backed Yes | 68c | 59.71$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Yes | 34c | 59.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.05 | 279 | 48%134 W · 145 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Yes | 34c | 59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.94 | 118 | 42.4%50 W · 68 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6594…6302backed No | 66c | 54$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f8…f9ebbacked No | 67c | 48$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…1be7backed Yes | 34c | 47.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.35 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes | 34c | 47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.02 | 171 | 38.6%66 W · 105 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed No | 68c | 45.75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.01 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4e…0781backed No | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…24f0backed No | 66c | 37.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 64c | 37.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5037…a863backed Yes | 35c | 34.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.29 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 408 | 21.8%89 W · 319 L | -53.7wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c8…7c4cbacked No | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 265 | 54.7%145 W · 120 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf275…2536backed No | 67c | 29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 72c | 24.67$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.91 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f82…2363backed No | 66c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x870c…40ddbacked No | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10cd…6362backed No | 66c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5da5…59aebacked No | 66c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf04…46cbbacked No | 67c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x168e…8a28backed No | 67c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Stoke City FC win on 2026-03-14?this page
- Will Stoke City FC vs. Watford FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Watford FC win on 2026-03-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.