Premier League · resolved market
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-03-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1bf446791c379c739e54433e37f39a9538579650c42564267857040426702a46
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,487
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,487 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 77c | 1,497$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.41 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 535 | 34.2%183 W · 352 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 40c | 890.34$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.08 | 1,029 | 51.7%532 W · 497 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 60c | 876$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.4 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 42c | 743.96$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.22 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 32c | 730.1$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.58 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 62c | 608.67$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.36 | 6,225 | 45.6%2,836 W · 3,389 L | -34.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 54c | 462.38$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.57 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 22c | 368.52$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.52 | 993 | 45.8%455 W · 538 L | +14.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 78c | 322$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.84 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 46c | 279.5$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.57 | 172 | 54.1%93 W · 79 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 39c | 264.49$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.71 | 2,613 | 47.6%1,245 W · 1,368 L | +42.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4705…fd08backed No | 40c | 190.83$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.33 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 112 | 23.2%26 W · 86 L | -10.0wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 73c | 162.39$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.42 | 4,892 | 41.5%2,028 W · 2,864 L | +25.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 36c | 154.87$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.46 | 223 | 35.4%79 W · 144 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 39c | 145$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.66 | 356 | 61.2%218 W · 138 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 55c | 124.6$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.07 | 399 | 48.4%193 W · 206 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 40c | 118.51$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.73 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 40c | 117$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.44 | 867 | 48.7%422 W · 445 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Yes | 58c | 115.89$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 207 | 63.8%132 W · 75 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 38c | 111.25$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.28 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x874f…b0a5backed Yes | 61c | 106.36$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.48 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked No | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 14c | 91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf07…9c4fbacked Yes | 61c | 85.25$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked Yes | 58c | 80.1$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.64 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 290 | 50.7%147 W · 143 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9493…7988backed Yes | 64c | 75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 208 | 40.9%85 W · 123 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Yes | 59c | 73.75$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 61c | 69.88$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.09 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…24f0backed No | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 70c | 58.27$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 1,426 | 44.3%632 W · 794 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53c5…cb95backed Yes | 79c | 55.52$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 39c | 48.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 859 | 52.7%453 W · 406 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 59c | 48.43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.86 | 365 | 54.5%199 W · 166 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 277 | 50.5%140 W · 137 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf16…25a5backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1991…3580backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x205c…1470backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 246 | 48.8%120 W · 126 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8493…5366backed Yes | 61c | 31.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 37c | 30.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 749 | 50.7%380 W · 369 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Yes | 63c | 30.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed No | 46c | 26.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf05f…91d5backed Yes | 61c | 26.23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 46c | 25.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 1,176 | 57.4%675 W · 501 L | +40.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf594…bfc1backed Yes | 62c | 23.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 62c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 1,821 | 34.6%630 W · 1,191 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06b…0e9ebacked Yes | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc0…78bcbacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-03-14?this page
- Will Norwich City FC vs. Preston North End FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Preston North End FC win on 2026-03-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.