Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-03-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13c100bd9485b9a683723aab8d1e1880ec7547b396dc45f59fb36005257bdbc2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,187
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,187 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 65c | 1,704$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.66 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 31c | 1,185$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.94 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 48c | 621.19$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.56 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b54…db07backed Yes | 49c | 532.33$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.84 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 43c | 522.92$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.31 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bea…038ebacked Yes | 4c | 499.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 58c | 363.61$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.79 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdaf…e58fbacked No | 42c | 356.14$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.56 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +6.0wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 57c | 350.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 265 | 49.4%131 W · 134 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…a4fbbacked Yes | 57c | 350$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.5 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaaad…c739backed No | 43c | 322.11$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.6 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 61c | 317.88$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.98 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 43c | 272.36$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.24 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 63c | 240$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.99 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 6c | 224$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.56 | 242 | 42.1%102 W · 140 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 43c | 180.87$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.79 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 43c | 116$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.12 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 53c | 108.63$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.06 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Yes | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed No | 14c | 106$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.26 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…d4e9backed Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…24f0backed Yes | 58c | 99.57$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.75 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -5.4wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Yes | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 90 | 30%27 W · 63 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 42c | 84.27$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.73 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x008d…b839backed Yes | 59c | 75$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 43c | 74.41$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.41 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 38c | 70.43$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.9 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 57c | 70$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 58c | 69.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.31 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 57c | 66.64$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.98 | 338 | 58.6%198 W · 140 L | +30.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 16c | 65.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.18 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 58c | 58.62$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked Yes | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 43c | 51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.07 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec91…c229backed Yes | 56c | 51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked Yes | 57c | 45.61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 62 | 72.6%45 W · 17 L | +7.6wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Yes | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 44c | 39.8$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 283 | 49.1%139 W · 144 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x368c…e8d5backed Yes | 46c | 39.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d4…3691backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 57c | 31.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked No | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 66c | 27.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Yes | 57c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-03-14?this page
- Will FC Alverca win on 2026-03-14?No won
- Will Gil Vicente FC vs. FC Alverca end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.