Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Tromsø IL win on 2026-03-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x540414ac809260b9c68f572a5bf39794724b0cf373cc9d3fb4385cc18631892c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,641
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,641 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Yes | 58c | 3,263$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,373.03 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 58c | 1,485$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.68 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 42c | 1,314$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.38 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 14c | 980.21$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.92 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 59c | 508$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.28 | 70 | 24.3%17 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 42c | 493.84$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.53 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 42c | 480.29$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.02 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…24f0backed No | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -5.4wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked No | 42c | 435.76$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.02 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 42c | 390$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.8 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 19c | 369.26$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.37 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 43c | 256.59$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.03 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9fa…c365backed Yes | 73c | 234$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.26 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Yes | 59c | 203.39$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.39 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 41c | 194.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.94 | 124 | 37.9%47 W · 77 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 43c | 182.37$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.42 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca28…ceb2backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Yes | 69c | 144.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.54 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 58c | 136.9$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 37c | 131.89$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.33 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 79c | 126.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.12 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Yes | 59c | 102.82$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.27 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 351 | 54.7%192 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed No | 19c | 85.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4668…9d40backed Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 41c | 63.01$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d27…676ebacked Yes | 57c | 52.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 43c | 39.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 58c | 38.03$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 223 | 33.2%74 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 56c | 37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed No | 42c | 34.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 86 | 65.1%56 W · 30 L | +11.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 42c | 28.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 278 | 56.1%156 W · 122 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tromsø IL win on 2026-03-15?this page
- Will Fredrikstad FK win on 2026-03-15?No won
- Will Tromsø IL vs. Fredrikstad FK end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.