Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will HŠK Zrinjski Mostar vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda201a45f25c438d32e1bdfc6f80747496ddee3935c0f64ae7f1dd22f8129146
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,876
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,764
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,876 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe831…a42abacked Yes | 17c | 3,182$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,641.02 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…cd41backed No | 75c | 3,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 70cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 26c | 1,813$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.63 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 54c | 1,114$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.38 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 17c | 762.88$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.39 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 66c | 740.36$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.16 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 49c | 547.36$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.04 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed No | 4c | 464.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…2425backed Yes | 16c | 396.98$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.42 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 22c | 371.91$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.57 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 18c | 365$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.08 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dce…b663backed No | 69c | 355.07$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 72cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 45c | 332.61$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.91 | 234 | 61.5%144 W · 90 L | +26.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x56a8…3639backed Yes | 78c | 320$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.7 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 26c | 273.05$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.59 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 231.46$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.89 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 39c | 166$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.27 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x648f…fc85backed Yes | 17c | 165.77$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.59 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e7…5284backed Yes | 17c | 149.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 48c | 125.61$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.21 | 142 | 41.5%59 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 17c | 97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.11 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9fa…c365backed Yes | 59c | 81.36$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.36 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed No | 50c | 81.27$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.96 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd50f…4034backed Yes | 17c | 80$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 76c | 64.48$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Yes | 17c | 63.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.4 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…54f0backed No | 80c | 62.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.23 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeff2…b6ecbacked Yes | 18c | 54.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +447.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 36c | 51.25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.98 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 25c | 49.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 160 | 13.1%21 W · 139 L | -18.8wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -47%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed No | 50c | 41.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf5a…bf0abacked Yes | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 53c | 39.19$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5843…fb53backed Yes | 32c | 34.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.45 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +138.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked No | 47c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3df1…2f2cbacked No | 60c | 23.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked No | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 80 | 62.5%50 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will HŠK Zrinjski Mostar vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-02-19?No won
- Will HŠK Zrinjski Mostar win on 2026-02-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.