Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Idaho State Bengals vs. Utah Valley Wolverines
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x524cbc4fbfc5668fee6d82b8d48c26afaa9d3071afdaee1893c42e54ff55c573
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Utah Valley Wolverinesof Idaho State Bengals, Utah Valley Wolverines
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,830
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,130
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,830 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 70c | 7,200$5,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160.15 | 116 | 62.1%72 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Idaho State Bengals | 30c | 6,544$1,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,963.21 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Idaho State Bengals | 17c | 2,421$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.96 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 64c | 2,289$1,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.32 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked Idaho State Bengals | 45c | 1,912$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.14 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Idaho State Bengals | 54c | 1,024$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.93 | 131 | 41.2%54 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Utah Valley Wolverines | 58c | 900.33$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.97 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Idaho State Bengals | 14c | 806$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.84 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked Utah Valley Wolverines | 56c | 630$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.1 | 159 | 39%62 W · 97 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38ce…999fbacked Idaho State Bengals | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Idaho State Bengals | 11c | 553$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.6 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Idaho State Bengals | 22c | 500$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1228…c4fabacked Idaho State Bengals | 11c | 500$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Utah Valley Wolverines | 70c | 405.98$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.92 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Idaho State Bengals | 45c | 320.51$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.18 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Idaho State Bengals | 25c | 318.26$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.46 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Idaho State Bengals | 28c | 282.33$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.18 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Idaho State Bengals | 32c | 272.55$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.35 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf37c…3c74backed Idaho State Bengals | 15c | 268.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c58…8c00backed Idaho State Bengals | 37c | 264.85$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.79 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.24per pick | 30cpaid | -76%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e7…4dc1backed Idaho State Bengals | 25c | 231.12$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.68 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x521e…689bbacked Idaho State Bengals | 25c | 224$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Idaho State Bengals | 14c | 143$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ec…daabbacked Idaho State Bengals | 32c | 131.08$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.91 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab3…5fa4backed Idaho State Bengals | 12c | 126.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Idaho State Bengals | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 233 | 63.9%149 W · 84 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe35e…7754backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 70c | 120$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2862…b2ddbacked Idaho State Bengals | 20c | 100.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 109 | 39.4%43 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…499ebacked Idaho State Bengals | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 67c | 95.02$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.1 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | -11.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Idaho State Bengals | 20c | 80.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 63c | 79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.23 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b3…0d89backed Idaho State Bengals | 16c | 78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a80…cbf7backed Idaho State Bengals | 16c | 72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…8137backed Idaho State Bengals | 16c | 67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Idaho State Bengals | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Idaho State Bengals | 25c | 54.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 76c | 29.19$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 79c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.