Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Florida State Seminoles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8375072634c7114ab4e4c3e190a7d1b6f9fca72a2d9e250d7eaf3f70e098cf92
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Massachusetts Minutemenof Massachusetts Minutemen, Florida State Seminoles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,691
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,704
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,691 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 14c | 4,744$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,072.97 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 13c | 3,734$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,241.85 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Florida State Seminoles | 75c | 2,493$1,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880.86 | 354 | 52.3%185 W · 169 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 19c | 2,165$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750.56 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 50c | 1,681$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.85 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 43c | 1,304$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.13 | 105 | 11.4%12 W · 93 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dba…c816backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 20c | 1,180$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.09 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Florida State Seminoles | 70c | 1,030$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.59 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 13c | 859$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.33 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a2…b10bbacked Florida State Seminoles | 78c | 808.37$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.36 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24db…1332backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 13c | 582.47$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.77 | 132 | 19.7%26 W · 106 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Florida State Seminoles | 76c | 550$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked Florida State Seminoles | 62c | 512.19$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.24 | 159 | 39%62 W · 97 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 14c | 509.85$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.5 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 12c | 402.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.63 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Florida State Seminoles | 61c | 396.39$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.07 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 25c | 377.75$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.59 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 29c | 346$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 453 | 51.4%233 W · 220 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e88…f3c9backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.33 | 97 | 29.9%29 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 50c | 298.26$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.13 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 12c | 291.92$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.25 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 12c | 260.36$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.28 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab3…5fa4backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.77 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58a0…d7cabacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 26c | 226.04$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.31 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…7d37backed Florida State Seminoles | 41c | 214$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Florida State Seminoles | 77c | 187$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.16 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 40c | 150$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1f…a9a2backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 38c | 115.02$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.97 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 15c | 106.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.67 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec1…070ebacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 14c | 99.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.99 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 11c | 99.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.99 | 254 | 38.2%97 W · 157 L | -14.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 24c | 91.71$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.14 | 78 | 64.1%50 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Florida State Seminoles | 70c | 59.37$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.83 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd92a…31ebbacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 22c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.8wins | +0.35per pick | 44cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…421bbacked Florida State Seminoles | 45c | 47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Florida State Seminoles | 60c | 28.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3981…ae35backed Florida State Seminoles | 52c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Florida State Seminolesthis page
- Spread: Florida State Seminoles (-11.5)Massachusetts Minutemen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.