Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Florida State Seminoles (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb69ec04b076b9ebf3fce7c7e1f0ab27b7db83c86647b212ae4c73d18048441c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Massachusetts Minutemenof Florida State Seminoles, Massachusetts Minutemen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $251,663
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $249,393
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $251,663 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 48c | 163,706$78,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85,127.38 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1af1…0f7bbacked Florida State Seminoles | 52c | 51,712$26,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,972.31 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 48c | 43,069$20,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,395.95 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20e2…667fbacked Florida State Seminoles | 52c | 34,750$18,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,070 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Florida State Seminoles | 52c | 16,187$8,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,353.49 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Florida State Seminoles | 52c | 15,300$7,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,956.2 | 155 | 56.1%87 W · 68 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 48c | 14,921$7,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,702.87 | 354 | 52.3%185 W · 169 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Florida State Seminoles | 52c | 14,604$7,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,594.08 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 48c | 11,492$5,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,925.81 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +6.9wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe899…19babacked Florida State Seminoles | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Florida State Seminoles | 52c | 8,044$4,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,182.72 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked Florida State Seminoles | 52c | 7,500$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +5.3wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Florida State Seminoles | 51c | 6,384$3,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,255.95 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x934e…e7c0backed Florida State Seminoles | 52c | 6,237$3,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,243 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 49c | 5,059$2,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,580.19 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Florida State Seminoles | 52c | 4,400$2,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,288 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Florida State Seminoles | 52c | 3,914$2,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,032.87 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…e23abacked Florida State Seminoles | 52c | 3,860$2,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,007 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2195…16f9backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 47c | 3,191$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.48 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 48c | 1,800$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Florida State Seminoles | 52c | 1,073$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Florida State Seminoles | 52c | 942.31$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 255 | 44.3%113 W · 142 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Florida State Seminoles | 52c | 706.24$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.19 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Florida State Seminoles | 52c | 434.28$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.53 | 100 | 37%37 W · 63 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…39fdbacked Florida State Seminoles | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Florida State Seminoles | 52c | 323.5$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.89 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 48c | 222.11$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.5 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 200 | 46.5%93 W · 107 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Florida State Seminoles | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…59b2backed Florida State Seminoles | 51c | 139.79$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x544e…2d9fbacked Florida State Seminoles | 52c | 128$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.56 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x215b…3e6cbacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaf…c132backed Florida State Seminoles | 52c | 46.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…c672backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 49c | 42.04$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…a00abacked Florida State Seminoles | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 47c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 130 | 46.9%61 W · 69 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36fd…b70cbacked Florida State Seminoles | 52c | 22.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ad…cc15backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa41a…181fbacked Florida State Seminoles | 52c | 19.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Florida State Seminoles (-11.5)this page
- Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Florida State SeminolesMassachusetts Minutemen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.