Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Runa Team (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe291e4593cc381f45802f4c8b7caad3dcce700d8730396f9e15a9a85efe4420a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BetBoom Teamof BetBoom Team, Runa Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,901
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,203
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,901 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Runa Team | 5c | 6,091$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.32 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Runa Team | 3c | 5,000$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.72 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Runa Team | 13c | 1,500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Runa Team | 14c | 1,429$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked Runa Team | 12c | 999.89$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.84 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Runa Team | 13c | 914.82$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.93 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd96…e623backed Runa Team | 12c | 761.85$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4b…f8fbbacked Runa Team | 12c | 599.89$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.21 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Runa Team | 2c | 555.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 328 | 6.4%21 W · 307 L | -102.4wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0x51ec…a7b9backed Runa Team | 4c | 505.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 94 | 23.4%22 W · 72 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Runa Team | 12c | 474$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.84 | 168 | 35.7%60 W · 108 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…7ab1backed Runa Team | 5c | 410.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8254…137fbacked Runa Team | 7c | 384$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.22 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Runa Team | 11c | 375$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Runa Team | 9c | 305$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.82 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Runa Team | 11c | 208.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x766f…709bbacked Runa Team | 13c | 160$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…e899backed Runa Team | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab3…5fa4backed Runa Team | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Runa Team | 13c | 94.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b5…6a22backed Runa Team | 15c | 76.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Runa Team (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Runa Team - Game 1 WinnerBetBoom Team won
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Runa Team - Game 2 WinnerBetBoom Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.