Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Portland State Vikings vs. Colorado Buffaloes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1062e01dc711e0d1b9e950d6d5eeb7f0d15514cb2dacd2f515692c426886267
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Colorado Buffaloesof Portland State Vikings, Colorado Buffaloes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,184
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,516
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,184 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Portland State Vikings | 1c | 5,710$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.1 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Portland State Vikings | 13c | 3,003$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.26 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Portland State Vikings | 3c | 2,155$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.67 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e14…6a57backed Portland State Vikings | 2c | 1,550$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe265…c013backed Portland State Vikings | 5c | 800$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Portland State Vikings | 6c | 793$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.78 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Portland State Vikings | 6c | 673.35$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Portland State Vikings | 7c | 437$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.59 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Portland State Vikings | 7c | 425$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb2…f12fbacked Portland State Vikings | 17c | 288.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +4.5wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +46%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Portland State Vikings | 4c | 261$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd691…8f16backed Portland State Vikings | 7c | 246.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Portland State Vikings | 5c | 222.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab3…5fa4backed Portland State Vikings | 15c | 182.93$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Portland State Vikings | 16c | 152.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 239 | 41.4%99 W · 140 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd950…f7dcbacked Portland State Vikings | 18c | 133.61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Portland State Vikings | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18c…37c1backed Portland State Vikings | 18c | 110.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -67%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Portland State Vikings | 17c | 105.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -50%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Portland State Vikings | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf37c…3c74backed Portland State Vikings | 14c | 96.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Portland State Vikings | 16c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.