Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Cleveland State Vikings vs. Detroit Titans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90f028eb84bb8b8e88b3833815611b258e53676f17c7512529710483be879225
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Detroit Titansof Cleveland State Vikings, Detroit Titans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,533
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,772
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,533 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Cleveland State Vikings | 2c | 3,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.87 | 230 | 28.3%65 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Cleveland State Vikings | 27c | 1,167$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.09 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Detroit Titans | 73c | 1,140$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.8 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Cleveland State Vikings | 25c | 722.09$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.41 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…2b45backed Cleveland State Vikings | 8c | 594.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7201…3d47backed Cleveland State Vikings | 23c | 435$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Cleveland State Vikings | 20c | 336.28$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.63 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Cleveland State Vikings | 29c | 322$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.16 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Detroit Titans | 71c | 270.78$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.49 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Detroit Titans | 80c | 268.38$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.68 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Cleveland State Vikings | 9c | 213$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f29…9d73backed Detroit Titans | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3493…47bcbacked Cleveland State Vikings | 6c | 172.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Detroit Titans | 75c | 169.75$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.44 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Cleveland State Vikings | 17c | 168.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Cleveland State Vikings | 24c | 162.94$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.92 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Detroit Titans | 72c | 135.51$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.94 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc479…e938backed Cleveland State Vikings | 10c | 117.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 18cpaid | -93.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f27…781dbacked Detroit Titans | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 15 | 93.3%14 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 78cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Detroit Titans | 74c | 83.19$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.81 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Cleveland State Vikings | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Cleveland State Vikings | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 152 | 50%76 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Detroit Titans | 79c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed Detroit Titans | 71c | 34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Detroit Titans | 75c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa36b…86d9backed Detroit Titans | 75c | 25.47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cleveland State Vikings vs. Detroit Titansthis page
- Cleveland State Vikings vs. Detroit Titans: O/U 158.5Over won
- Cleveland State Vikings vs. Detroit Titans: O/U 159.5Over won
- Cleveland State Vikings vs. Detroit Titans: O/U 160.5Over won
- Spread: Detroit Titans (-6.5)Detroit Titans won
- Spread: Detroit Titans (-7.5)Detroit Titans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.