Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Detroit Titans (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17024af50cef1919dc3a9469c1f51ee5a40de4c85501649451fed282a18181df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Detroit Titansof Detroit Titans, Cleveland State Vikings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $481,898
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $482,087
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $481,898 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Detroit Titans | 51c | 440,151$224,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215,754.17 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Cleveland State Vikings | 49c | 146,104$71,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,590.96 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Cleveland State Vikings | 49c | 100,505$49,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,247.65 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Cleveland State Vikings | 49c | 85,523$41,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,906.23 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Cleveland State Vikings | 49c | 50,000$24,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,500 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Cleveland State Vikings | 50c | 19,896$9,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,947.91 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cleveland State Vikings | 49c | 15,000$7,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,350 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cleveland State Vikings | 50c | 8,290$4,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,129.49 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Cleveland State Vikings | 50c | 7,777$3,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,888.5 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…3081backed Cleveland State Vikings | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked Cleveland State Vikings | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,959.94 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Cleveland State Vikings | 49c | 3,863$1,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,910.57 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Cleveland State Vikings | 50c | 2,850$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Cleveland State Vikings | 52c | 1,543$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cleveland State Vikings | 49c | 1,002$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.98 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Cleveland State Vikings | 49c | 712.62$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.18 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cleveland State Vikings | 49c | 410.96$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.06 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f43…a080backed Detroit Titans | 51c | 290.61$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.4 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Cleveland State Vikings | 50c | 249.97$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.99 | 152 | 50%76 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb248…3652backed Cleveland State Vikings | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Cleveland State Vikings | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…600dbacked Detroit Titans | 51c | 137.58$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.48 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Cleveland State Vikings | 50c | 109.51$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.76 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc00f…0f52backed Detroit Titans | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Cleveland State Vikings | 50c | 98.49$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Cleveland State Vikings | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de5…4a03backed Detroit Titans | 51c | 93.31$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.69 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Cleveland State Vikings | 50c | 86.49$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.25 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5199…8870backed Detroit Titans | 51c | 76.4$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x780c…7921backed Cleveland State Vikings | 51c | 60.78$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…f75cbacked Cleveland State Vikings | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Cleveland State Vikings | 51c | 59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Cleveland State Vikings | 49c | 55.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.57 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4790…2dd7backed Cleveland State Vikings | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x640f…4cc0backed Detroit Titans | 51c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +6.7wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Detroit Titans | 51c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x871e…6566backed Cleveland State Vikings | 50c | 41.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2db9…846cbacked Cleveland State Vikings | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Cleveland State Vikings | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0eb…5cc6backed Cleveland State Vikings | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…82b0backed Detroit Titans | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10a3…ae13backed Cleveland State Vikings | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 60cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83fb…e89bbacked Detroit Titans | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 169 | 52.7%89 W · 80 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Cleveland State Vikings | 49c | 27.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 1,124 | 46.4%521 W · 603 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20c8…6354backed Cleveland State Vikings | 50c | 25.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775c…4ef0backed Detroit Titans | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Detroit Titans (-6.5)this page
- Cleveland State Vikings vs. Detroit TitansDetroit Titans won
- Cleveland State Vikings vs. Detroit Titans: O/U 158.5Over won
- Cleveland State Vikings vs. Detroit Titans: O/U 159.5Over won
- Cleveland State Vikings vs. Detroit Titans: O/U 160.5Over won
- Spread: Detroit Titans (-7.5)Detroit Titans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.