Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Portland Pilots vs. UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeba6b896f48d7aba1f58100bb978471a0b851b3a579178b53cdd039dabee1aba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UC Santa Barbara Gauchosof Portland Pilots, UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,522
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,046
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,522 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Portland Pilots | 16c | 2,588$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.33 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Portland Pilots | 21c | 1,137$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.27 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 79c | 929$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.09 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Portland Pilots | 19c | 880$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.17 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Portland Pilots | 3c | 751.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5be…46cebacked Portland Pilots | 11c | 749.11$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Portland Pilots | 18c | 654.61$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.83 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Portland Pilots | 20c | 409$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.75 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 80c | 360$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.07 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Portland Pilots | 10c | 324$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.92 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 70c | 313.78$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.78 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2862…b2ddbacked Portland Pilots | 20c | 201.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.47 | 109 | 39.4%43 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 79c | 154.04$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.26 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 76c | 153.9$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…2cd5backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Portland Pilots | 21c | 99.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Portland Pilots | 18c | 93.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 254 | 38.2%97 W · 157 L | -14.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc479…e938backed Portland Pilots | 16c | 69.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 18cpaid | -93.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Portland Pilots | 29c | 67.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Portland Pilots | 20c | 64.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72e4…0369backed Portland Pilots | 20c | 64.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06f9…621fbacked Portland Pilots | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 80c | 56.25$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 69c | 54.9$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x156f…6887backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Portland Pilots | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 80c | 49.5$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…bb1abacked Portland Pilots | 31c | 33.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 80c | 22.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16c9…d994backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portland Pilots vs. UC Santa Barbara Gauchosthis page
- Portland Pilots vs. UC Santa Barbara Gauchos: O/U 148.5Under won
- Spread: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos (-8.5)UC Santa Barbara Gauchos won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.