TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Canisius Golden Griffins vs. Iona Gaels

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Iona Gaelsof Canisius Golden Griffins, Iona Gaels
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$33,626
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,437

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,626 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x00e0…8a94backed Canisius Golden Griffins10c8,000$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79023028.3%65 W · 165 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20ae…f107backed Canisius Golden Griffins27c4,880$1,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,316.1942327.2%115 W · 308 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Iona Gaels73c2,459$1,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.693,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Iona Gaels72c1,813$1,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.752,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Canisius Golden Griffins15c1,585$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.811,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c44…78dbbacked Canisius Golden Griffins26c1,000$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Iona Gaels73c772.75$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.591,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Iona Gaels79c533.66$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.0973549.1%361 W · 374 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1f5…8be3backed Canisius Golden Griffins20c499.4$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8812733.9%43 W · 84 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Iona Gaels80c479.9$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.292,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Iona Gaels79c439$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.491,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Iona Gaels79c379$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.8561446.1%283 W · 331 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Canisius Golden Griffins18c375.68$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.657335.6%204 W · 369 L-27.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3493…47bcbacked Canisius Golden Griffins5c370$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.12313%3 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick19cpaid-69.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Canisius Golden Griffins13c310.16$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.041,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0097…f101backed Canisius Golden Griffins17c298.94$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504126.8%11 W · 30 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea81…eeaebacked Canisius Golden Griffins14c284.66$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.851,22727.8%341 W · 886 L-0.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Canisius Golden Griffins31c270$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.5572248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Canisius Golden Griffins14c247.31$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.352,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f84…73abbacked Canisius Golden Griffins19c181.25$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.15450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Iona Gaels78c166.55$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.0832343%139 W · 184 L-18.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x72e2…1d2abacked Canisius Golden Griffins25c160$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-31.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc479…e938backed Canisius Golden Griffins12c145.88$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17214.8%1 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.14per pick18cpaid-93.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Iona Gaels78c133.69$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5245644.5%203 W · 253 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4786…ff95backed Canisius Golden Griffins17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209947.5%47 W · 52 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0887…7864backed Canisius Golden Griffins22c98.07$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2220%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Canisius Golden Griffins16c93$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.782,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85f7…fb66backed Canisius Golden Griffins15c75.2$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.283613.9%5 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Iona Gaels74c51.35$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.35887.5%7 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick78cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Iona Gaels69c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.51,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28ad…0614backed Canisius Golden Griffins22c46.8$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3512034.2%41 W · 79 L-13.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-33.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Iona Gaels74c33.78$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.7823544.7%105 W · 130 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3382…5904backed Iona Gaels74c14.86$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.86250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.