Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Canisius Golden Griffins vs. Iona Gaels: O/U 141.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5437086b6d0b39899b010508846d7112049561d9d920500b797946e755bde62b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,132
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,266
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,132 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 50c | 9,482$4,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,787.83 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 6,763$3,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,437.77 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 48c | 1,790$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.8 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 50c | 1,623$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.34 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 52c | 993.59$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.67 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Over | 52c | 673.08$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Under | 50c | 509$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.6 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 464.3$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.7 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Under | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 270 | 45.2%122 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5912…2fe0backed Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 46c | 119.85$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.72 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Over | 55c | 119$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.45 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…220cbacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 49c | 68.59$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.98 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed Over | 53c | 66$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11fa…ebf3backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -48%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Over | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…7db6backed Over | 51c | 31.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9b…0bc0backed Under | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9115…1cecbacked Over | 51c | 29.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5931…08cbbacked Under | 45c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc0eb…5cc6backed Over | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef9…b5bfbacked Under | 47c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…1000backed Under | 47c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x152c…3b50backed Under | 45c | 23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canisius Golden Griffins vs. Iona Gaels: O/U 141.5this page
- Canisius Golden Griffins vs. Iona GaelsIona Gaels won
- Canisius Golden Griffins vs. Iona Gaels: O/U 142.5Under won
- Canisius Golden Griffins vs. Iona Gaels: O/U 143.5Under won
- Spread: Iona Gaels (-11.5)Iona Gaels won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.