Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Iona Gaels (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x03b794ea1e096e64e0b72cf533ad2681ad07c901041630b7e4162d0a7fe0c18d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Iona Gaelsof Iona Gaels, Canisius Golden Griffins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,851
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,851
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,851 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Canisius Golden Griffins | 53c | 843.66$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.14 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +8.9wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…c3eabacked Iona Gaels | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Iona Gaels | 47c | 416$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.48 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Canisius Golden Griffins | 6c | 241$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Canisius Golden Griffins | 51c | 181.25$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.74 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Iona Gaels | 50c | 127.3$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.65 | 222 | 50.9%113 W · 109 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Canisius Golden Griffins | 52c | 115$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Iona Gaels | 48c | 69$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.65 | 1,124 | 46.4%521 W · 603 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Canisius Golden Griffins | 51c | 38.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Iona Gaels | 49c | 38.08$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.42 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf71c…488bbacked Iona Gaels | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d19…0b39backed Iona Gaels | 48c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…694ebacked Iona Gaels | 48c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Iona Gaels (-11.5)this page
- Canisius Golden Griffins vs. Iona GaelsIona Gaels won
- Canisius Golden Griffins vs. Iona Gaels: O/U 141.5Under won
- Canisius Golden Griffins vs. Iona Gaels: O/U 142.5Under won
- Canisius Golden Griffins vs. Iona Gaels: O/U 143.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.