Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
San Diego Toreros vs. California Baptist Lancers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf4cebb03e1be1fc699ae321334d1e322d950f1739c67baf56ea938fbae5b3be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- California Baptist Lancersof San Diego Toreros, California Baptist Lancers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,549
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,871
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,549 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked San Diego Toreros | 20c | 3,823$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.3 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked San Diego Toreros | 16c | 943.99$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.95 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked San Diego Toreros | 25c | 703$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.75 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb325…468cbacked San Diego Toreros | 20c | 586.21$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed San Diego Toreros | 23c | 477.47$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.82 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed California Baptist Lancers | 77c | 467$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.41 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed California Baptist Lancers | 75c | 377$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.25 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…f4f4backed California Baptist Lancers | 34c | 208.48$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.6 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed California Baptist Lancers | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c9…5e53backed San Diego Toreros | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 111 | 36%40 W · 71 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4b…84c9backed San Diego Toreros | 17c | 174.05$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.92 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked California Baptist Lancers | 75c | 138.58$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed San Diego Toreros | 14c | 120$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc479…e938backed San Diego Toreros | 31c | 83.36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 18cpaid | -93.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd36b…d4d4backed San Diego Toreros | 68c | 79.41$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked San Diego Toreros | 69c | 55$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.95 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed California Baptist Lancers | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 255 | 44.3%113 W · 142 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed California Baptist Lancers | 78c | 21.79$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.79 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Diego Toreros vs. California Baptist Lancersthis page
- San Diego Toreros vs. California Baptist Lancers: O/U 148.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.