TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

UAB Blazers vs. East Carolina Pirates

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
UAB Blazersof UAB Blazers, East Carolina Pirates
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$27,889
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$31,503

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,889 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6218…f388backed East Carolina Pirates41c3,380$1,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,385.561154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+23.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked UAB Blazers75c2,041$1,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.525,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed UAB Blazers71c1,971$1,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.273,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked UAB Blazers64c1,582$1,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.3761446.1%283 W · 331 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked East Carolina Pirates22c1,318$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.021,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ae…f107backed East Carolina Pirates28c1,257$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.0542327.2%115 W · 308 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed East Carolina Pirates26c1,236$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.422,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe02f…669fbacked East Carolina Pirates8c950$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778814.8%13 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6e7…caa8backed East Carolina Pirates3c900$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251478.8%13 W · 134 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed UAB Blazers73c885.71$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.692,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked UAB Blazers65c666.89$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.51,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked East Carolina Pirates24c641.74$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.131,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed East Carolina Pirates27c613$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.011,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked UAB Blazers73c532$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.011,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed UAB Blazers79c475.88$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.812,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200c…58eabacked UAB Blazers75c467.07$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.77450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed UAB Blazers78c450.68$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.2473549.1%361 W · 374 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed East Carolina Pirates26c413$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.6872248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x83c8…26f0backed East Carolina Pirates9c400$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3613313.5%18 W · 115 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick12cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e80…f17abacked East Carolina Pirates5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.711608.1%13 W · 147 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-42.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8307…ad90backed East Carolina Pirates5c400$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191048.7%9 W · 95 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick6cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked East Carolina Pirates23c384.14$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.31,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1f5…8be3backed East Carolina Pirates28c357$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9612733.9%43 W · 84 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf2a…0525backed UAB Blazers75c341.33$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.33955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3798…27fabacked East Carolina Pirates9c295.43$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.633312.1%4 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick6cpaid+54.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed UAB Blazers73c276.77$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.735,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed East Carolina Pirates11c272.73$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3053635.6%191 W · 345 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed UAB Blazers73c263$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.0140147.6%191 W · 210 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a65…e883backed UAB Blazers78c259.06$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.871154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick68cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked East Carolina Pirates27c223.46$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.894,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed UAB Blazers67c223$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.381,07447%505 W · 569 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc479…e938backed East Carolina Pirates9c200.61$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18214.8%1 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.14per pick18cpaid-93.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5f29…9d73backed UAB Blazers75c200$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498253.7%44 W · 38 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked UAB Blazers75c150$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.545351.4%233 W · 220 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed UAB Blazers73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.998956.2%50 W · 39 L-8.2wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-13.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked East Carolina Pirates25c128.07$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0212,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed UAB Blazers74c127.3$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.853646.5%249 W · 287 L-24.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked UAB Blazers77c113.83$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.184,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x699b…db49backed East Carolina Pirates27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-52.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked UAB Blazers59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4134649.1%170 W · 176 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x70c8…006cbacked UAB Blazers65c99.46$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.4614062.9%88 W · 52 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked UAB Blazers59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7540252.7%212 W · 190 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed UAB Blazers69c83$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.533,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed UAB Blazers74c75.37$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.273,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed East Carolina Pirates19c72.14$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9513840.6%56 W · 82 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed East Carolina Pirates26c70.41$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3630746.3%142 W · 165 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked UAB Blazers75c60$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1545953.8%247 W · 212 L-1.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1cb…fb77backed UAB Blazers70c56.45$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1310252%53 W · 49 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed UAB Blazers79c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.4244955.2%248 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb81d…b47fbacked East Carolina Pirates28c39.06$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked East Carolina Pirates34c33.56$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.419412.8%12 W · 82 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-44.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d33…065cbacked UAB Blazers74c22.51$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.85475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick74cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked UAB Blazers73c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.422552.9%119 W · 106 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x216b…2ce2backed UAB Blazers78c17.7$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.892458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked UAB Blazers70c17.14$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.1457335.6%204 W · 369 L-27.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.