NBA · resolved market
Raptors vs. Hornets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c103a2a430fbce500bf82afdd20d600e657dc326c65ff6ea9cf33f32ed9aa3f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hornetsof Raptors, Hornets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,824
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,977
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,824 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Hornets | 80c | 4,891$3,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.38 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Hornets | 61c | 2,791$1,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.15 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x738d…4df6backed Raptors | 15c | 2,600$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Raptors | 25c | 2,281$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.44 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d35…c1bcbacked Raptors | 57c | 1,605$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc0…53ddbacked Raptors | 32c | 1,475$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +13.2wins | +0.24per pick | 33cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked Raptors | 31c | 1,400$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked Hornets | 69c | 1,400$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Raptors | 5c | 1,246$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.03 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0150…a67abacked Raptors | 34c | 1,059$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…805cbacked Raptors | 33c | 970$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 428 | 27.3%117 W · 311 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Raptors | 19c | 639.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.25 | 164 | 43.3%71 W · 93 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Hornets | 67c | 622.37$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.64 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Raptors | 16c | 607.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70a8…6dfdbacked Raptors | 2c | 577.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 163 | 25.2%41 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c57…9c22backed Hornets | 69c | 509.14$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.83 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8af…f391backed Raptors | 32c | 508.56$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.7 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +33%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…fb79backed Raptors | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Hornets | 69c | 499.97$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.99 | 228 | 32%73 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Hornets | 68c | 431.36$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.85 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Hornets | 66c | 399.98$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.99 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa26e…c212backed Raptors | 21c | 381$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.97 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Hornets | 68c | 308.13$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.6 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda67…b950backed Hornets | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9857…be38backed Raptors | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdd…0b07backed Hornets | 67c | 234.63$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.18 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Raptors | 41c | 233.72$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.08 | 117 | 19.7%23 W · 94 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab74…3996backed Raptors | 22c | 225$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…6176backed Raptors | 27c | 185.45$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.64 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…517cbacked Raptors | 17c | 176.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.69 | 101 | 31.7%32 W · 69 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc757…3619backed Hornets | 70c | 145$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 75cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x565b…fa9bbacked Hornets | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…eec9backed Hornets | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Raptors | 31c | 126.38$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.18 | 191 | 37.7%72 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5f…7a25backed Hornets | 69c | 121.64$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.71 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…dc5abacked Raptors | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f30…52f3backed Hornets | 80c | 99.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Hornets | 69c | 99.97$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.99 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24cb…f959backed Hornets | 67c | 90.98$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.93 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0360…7be1backed Raptors | 40c | 85$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.92 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Raptors | 28c | 79.19$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.18 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26db…7abcbacked Hornets | 73c | 66.21$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 71cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37b9…3390backed Raptors | 27c | 65.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…15b5backed Raptors | 34c | 56.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 276 | 31.2%86 W · 190 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcab1…b2b1backed Hornets | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -4.1wins | -0.17per pick | 65cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…dd8ebacked Hornets | 73c | 40.36$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2190…36babacked Raptors | 27c | 38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…acd1backed Hornets | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…16ebbacked Hornets | 74c | 33.87$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Hornets | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 306 | 48.7%149 W · 157 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe56…f527backed Hornets | 71c | 23.6$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6c…537cbacked Hornets | 71c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc9…edadbacked Hornets | 70c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 60cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d8…527cbacked Hornets | 71c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c1…e802backed Hornets | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 61cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5168…61dcbacked Hornets | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa73d…f3bcbacked Hornets | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc040…cf50backed Hornets | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa473…6758backed Hornets | 71c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd4…1e3abacked Hornets | 71c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee35…0eb9backed Hornets | 71c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2dd…823ebacked Hornets | 70c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b6f…2361backed Hornets | 71c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf706…fb37backed Hornets | 71c | 15.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +131.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6140…06f3backed Hornets | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 61cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd69c…b7b4backed Hornets | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 61cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ad…2361backed Hornets | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.