College Football · resolved market
Sam Houston vs. Western Kentucky
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd391a7f50208bc67cf93719e02fc71bcda70592353fc8a7c65acd4a00422640a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Western Kentuckyof Sam Houston, Western Kentucky
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,956
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,972
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,956 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Western Kentucky | 78c | 4,929$3,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.28 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Sam Houston | 22c | 3,096$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.51 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Western Kentucky | 77c | 2,030$1,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.39 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Sam Houston | 6c | 1,435$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.1 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Sam Houston | 22c | 1,330$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.6 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Sam Houston | 20c | 1,177$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.18 | 74 | 14.9%11 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Sam Houston | 3c | 1,060$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Sam Houston | 22c | 1,036$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.01 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Sam Houston | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 8cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Sam Houston | 8c | 894$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.74 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Sam Houston | 22c | 800$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Sam Houston | 23c | 627.09$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.23 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Sam Houston | 3c | 600$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 69 | 4.3%3 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Western Kentucky | 76c | 549.17$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.8 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Sam Houston | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Western Kentucky | 77c | 369.7$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.48 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Western Kentucky | 73c | 368$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.92 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11c1…7fe5backed Sam Houston | 39c | 357.5$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Sam Houston | 30c | 329.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Sam Houston | 28c | 250$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Western Kentucky | 65c | 232.95$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Western Kentucky | 70c | 210.39$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.01 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Western Kentucky | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Sam Houston | 22c | 199.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 94 | 20.2%19 W · 75 L | -8.0wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26db…7abcbacked Western Kentucky | 79c | 126.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Sam Houston | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 280 | 32.9%92 W · 188 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Western Kentucky | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa805…83dcbacked Sam Houston | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 102 | 20.6%21 W · 81 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Sam Houston | 22c | 99.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 124 | 33.1%41 W · 83 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Sam Houston | 21c | 99.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 184 | 16.8%31 W · 153 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Western Kentucky | 78c | 95$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Sam Houston | 23c | 93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f74…52b0backed Sam Houston | 23c | 90$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12c2…a7d0backed Western Kentucky | 78c | 90$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Sam Houston | 24c | 84.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Western Kentucky | 77c | 81.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…cf27backed Western Kentucky | 79c | 54.47$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a2…9bbabacked Sam Houston | 33c | 46.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked Western Kentucky | 78c | 41$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4029…f30abacked Western Kentucky | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Western Kentucky | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc79f…4a31backed Western Kentucky | 78c | 13.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sam Houston vs. Western Kentuckythis page
- Sam Houston vs. Western Kentucky: O/U 60.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.